Match Info

ENGLAND: Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 18

Date: 30 November 2024, Saturday


	Dover Athletic		Cray Valley Paper Mills

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.6	3
	2.02	3.65	3
	2.04	3.78	3.03
	2.02	3.76	3.07
	1.83	3.7	3.4
	2.04	3.5	3.1
	2.02	3.65	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.63)	3.66 ↓ (3.95)	3.09 ↓ (4.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dover Athletic
45.8%

Draw
24.8%

Cray Valley Paper Mills
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

23%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

21.4%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dover Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dover Athletic's form might have worsened.

Cray Valley Paper Mills has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cray Valley Paper Mills's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dover Athletic than the current prediction. (+14.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dover Athletic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cray Valley Paper Mills than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cray Valley Paper Mills, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Dover Athletic - Cray Valley Paper Mills Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Soares Jr. R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
87', 1 - 1, Vigor M. ⚽,
90+8', 2 - 1, Charles-Cook R. ⚽,
90+9', 2 - 2, Oshilaja M. ⚽,
90+11', Oshilaja M. 🟥,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs: )).

Two teams got a triumph in the latest matches.

Recently Dover have a series of guest games.

Recently Cray Valley PM have a series of home games.

In this match Dover is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Dover to win the game is with odds 1.63.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dover Athletic
English Isthmian League Premier Division
26.11.24	Lewes - Dover Athletic	1:3 ✺
23.11.24	Bowers & Pitsea - Dover Athletic	0:2 ✺
16.11.24	Dover Athletic - Canvey Island	3:2 ✺
09.11.24	Chatham Town - Dover Athletic	1:1 ✺
05.11.24	Folkestone Invicta - Dover Athletic	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWWTW
- Cray Valley Paper Mills
English Isthmian League Premier Division
26.11.24	Cray Valley Paper Mills - Bowers & Pitsea	2:0 ✺
23.11.24	Cray Valley Paper Mills - Potters Bar Town	2:2 ✺
16.11.24	Hastings United - Cray Valley Paper Mills	0:1 ✺
09.11.24	Cray Valley Paper Mills - Horsham	1:0 ✺
05.11.24	Cray Valley Paper Mills - Cray Wanderers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WTWWW

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