Match Info

ENGLAND: Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 15

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday


	Chatham Town		Dover Athletic

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.4	2.35
	2.46	3.55	2.42
	2.57	3.62	2.47
	2.53	3.66	2.38
	2.5	3.5	2.36
	2.46	3.55	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (2.92)	3.55 ↓ (3.69)	2.4 ↑ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chatham Town
36.5%

Draw
25.6%

Dover Athletic
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

24.7%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

24.5%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chatham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chatham Town's performance.

Dover Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dover Athletic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chatham Town than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chatham Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dover Athletic than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dover Athletic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Chatham Town - Dover Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 1 - 0, Evans J. ⚽,
64', 1 - 1, Nikaj G. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 16 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South).

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chatham Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
05.11.24	Billericay Town - Chatham Town	1:1 ✺
02.11.24	Chatham Town - Lewes	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
26.10.24	Bowers & Pitsea - Chatham Town	0:1 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
19.10.24	Chatham Town - Potters Bar Town	2:2 ✺
15.10.24	Cray Wanderers - Chatham Town	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TTWTW
- Dover Athletic
English Isthmian League Premier Division
05.11.24	Folkestone Invicta - Dover Athletic	0:1 ✺
02.11.24	Dover Athletic - Potters Bar Town	3:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
26.10.24	Dover Athletic - Sittingbourne	0:2 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
19.10.24	Dover Athletic - Hashtag United	4:2 ✺
12.10.24	Whitehawk - Dover Athletic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWLWW

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