Match Info

ENGLAND: Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 11

Date: 19 October 2024, Saturday


	Dover Athletic		Hashtag United

	1	X	2
	1.66	4.2	3.5
	1.52	4.4	4.6
	1.72	4.92	3.3
	1.65	4.71	3.73
	1.69	3.94	3.96
	1.52	4.4	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.41)	4.43 ↓ (4.75)	3.95 ↓ (5.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dover Athletic
56.2%

Draw
20.6%

Hashtag United
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

19.2%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.4%

18.4%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dover Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dover Athletic's form might have worsened.

Hashtag United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hashtag United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dover Athletic than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dover Athletic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hashtag United than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hashtag United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Dover Athletic - Hashtag United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Matthews A. ⚽,
19', 1 - 1, Hassan S. ⚽,
30', 2 - 1, Pont H. ⚽,
45+5', 3 - 1, Baptiste L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
85', 4 - 1, Nikaj G. ⚽,
90+6', 4 - 2, Cornhill M. ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs: ) and 17).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Dover could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Dover is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dover Athletic
English Isthmian League Premier Division
12.10.24	Whitehawk - Dover Athletic	0:2 ✺
08.10.24	Dover Athletic - Bognor Regis Town	1:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
05.10.24	Dover Athletic - Cheshunt	3:0 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
28.09.24	Dover Athletic - Wingate & Finchley	1:2 ✺
21.09.24	Carshalton Athletic - Dover Athletic	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWLL
- Hashtag United
English Isthmian League Premier Division
12.10.24	Folkestone Invicta - Hashtag United	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
05.10.24	Hashtag United - Hitchin Town	1:0 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
01.10.24	Hashtag United - Carshalton Athletic	0:1 ✺
21.09.24	Cheshunt - Hashtag United	3:4 ✺
English FA Cup
14.09.24	Hornchurch - Hashtag United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TWLWL

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