Match Info

ENGLAND: Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 10

Date: 12 October 2024, Saturday


	Whitehawk		Dover Athletic

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.4	2.3
	2.55	3.45	2.38
	2.63	3.85	2.31
	2.59	3.78	2.29
	2.63	3.42	2.29
	2.55	3.45	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↓ (2.93)	3.56 ↓ (3.8)	2.33 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Whitehawk
35.3%

Draw
25.6%

Dover Athletic
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

23.9%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

24.5%

46.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Whitehawk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Dover Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dover Athletic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Whitehawk than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Whitehawk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dover Athletic than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dover Athletic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Whitehawk - Dover Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
68', 0 - 1, Baptiste L. ⚽,
84', 0 - 2, Nikaj G. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs: )).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Whitehawk could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Dover have a series of home games.

Dover will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Whitehawk won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:5 (average 0.7:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Whitehawk won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Whitehawk
English FA Trophy
05.10.24	Potters Bar Town - Whitehawk	2:1 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
21.09.24	Whitehawk - Potters Bar Town	2:0 ✺
07.09.24	Whitehawk - Cray Valley Paper Mills	2:0 ✺
26.08.24	Lewes - Whitehawk	2:1 ✺
24.08.24	Whitehawk - Bowers & Pitsea	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWWLW
- Dover Athletic
English Isthmian League Premier Division
08.10.24	Dover Athletic - Bognor Regis Town	1:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
05.10.24	Dover Athletic - Cheshunt	3:0 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
28.09.24	Dover Athletic - Wingate & Finchley	1:2 ✺
21.09.24	Carshalton Athletic - Dover Athletic	1:0 ✺
07.09.24	Dover Athletic - Dartford	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Trophy
12.12.15	Whitehawk - Dover Athletic	1:3
English National League South
21.04.14	Dover Athletic - Whitehawk	1:1
26.08.13	Whitehawk - Dover Athletic	0:1

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