Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 39

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday


	Dover Athletic		Hendon

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.5	5
	1.43	4.5	5.6
	1.42	4.8	5.77
	1.37	4.6	6.58
	1.43	4.5	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.37)	4.58 ↓ (4.6)	5.71 ↓ (6.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dover Athletic
64.2%

Draw
19.9%

Hendon
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.4%

19.8%

13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.9%

19.1%

13.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dover Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Hendon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dover Athletic than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hendon than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Dover Athletic - Hendon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Salamon M. (Own goal),
15', 2 - 0, Baptiste L. ⚽,
43', 2 - 1, Anokye-Boadi K. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
50', 3 - 1, Baptiste L. ⚽,
57', 4 - 1, Hanson R. ⚽,
88', 4 - 2, Fadahunsi T. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Dover is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hendon is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Dover is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Dover won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dover Athletic
English Isthmian League Premier Division
05.04.25	Dover Athletic - Cheshunt	2:1 ✺
29.03.25	Cray Wanderers - Dover Athletic	1:2 ✺
22.03.25	Dover Athletic - Dulwich Hamlet	1:0 ✺
18.03.25	Dover Athletic - Chatham Town	0:1 ✺
15.03.25	Cray Valley Paper Mills - Dover Athletic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWLL
- Hendon
English Isthmian League Premier Division
05.04.25	Hendon - Chichester City	2:1 ✺
29.03.25	Canvey Island - Hendon	1:1 ✺
22.03.25	Horsham - Hendon	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Hendon - Billericay Town	1:4 ✺
08.03.25	Hastings United - Hendon	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
04.01.25	Hendon - Dover Athletic	0:3

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