Match Info

CYPRUS: Cyta Championship - Relegation Group - Round 34

Date: 6 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Makario Stadium (Nicosia)

Referee: Athanassiou K. (Cyp)


	Doxa Katokopias		Apollon Limassol

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.4	2.4	Watch
	2.87	3.59	2.37
	2.87	3.59	2.37
	2.6	3.4	2.38
	2.74	3.45	2.41
	2.7	3.35	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↓ (5.07)	3.46 ↓ (4.01)	2.39 ↑ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Doxa Katokopias
34%

Draw
27%

Apollon Limassol
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.4%

23.3%

58.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18%

23.8%

59.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Doxa Katokopias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Doxa Katokopias's performance.

Apollon Limassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Apollon Limassol might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Doxa Katokopias than the current prediction. (-16%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Doxa Katokopias that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Apollon Limassol than the current prediction. (+20.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Apollon Limassol could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
43.7%	18.7%	37.5%

Doxa Katokopias - Apollon Limassol Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Doxa Katokopias will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). Apollon Limassol will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Doxa Katokopias: 19.5% – 68.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
61. Antoniou A. (G) 15. Adenon K. 21. Alceus B. 23. Antoniadis M. 88. Asante E. 32. Kyriakou E. 70. Mesca 5. Thandi S. 8. Trajcevski D. (C) 7. Trujic N. 19. Velkovski D.	99. Dimitriou D. (G) 4. Adoni Z. 26. Artean A. 13. Bruno Santos 77. Coll I. 29. Costache V. 22. Jurcevic M. 11. Krmencik M. 19. Pontikou G. 20. Spoljaric D. 28. Valbuena M.
Substitutes
33. Agrimakis M. (G) 6. Fofana G. 99. Hani O. 40. Kyriakou C. 98. Kyriakou P. (G) 13. Loizidis L. 10. Nabi A. 24. Provydakis K. 9. Sadik B.	90. Bakenga M. 25. Chambos K. 27. Darikwa T. 2. Ekpolo G. 41. Leeuwenburgh P. (G) 78. Loizou G. (G) 14. Malekkidis G. 43. Marques P. 30. Panagiotou Filiotis A. 8. Peretz E. 5. Peybernes M.
Coaches
Petrakis G.	Machin P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', Thandi S. 🟨,
33', Coll I. 🟨,
37', 0 - 1, Costache V. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Krmencik M. ↓, Bakenga M. ↑,
53', Coll I. ↓, Peretz E. ↑,
53', Valbuena M. ↓, Chambos K. ↑,
59', Alceus B. ↓, Nabi A. ↑,
59', Mesca ↓, Sadik B. ↑,
59', Trajcevski D. ↓, Fofana G. ↑,
61', Adoni Z. 🟨,
66', Trujic N. 🟨,
68', Asante E. ↓, Hani O. ↑,
70', Bruno Santos ↓, Peybernes M. ↑,
77', Adenon K. ↓, Provydakis K. ↑,
78', 0 - 2, Peretz E. ⚽,
81', Jurcevic M. ↓, Malekkidis G. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Doxa Katokopias won 1.

Doxa Katokopias is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Apollon Limassol is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Apollon Limassol will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Doxa Katokopias won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 16 matches and goals 11-39.

Including matches at home between the teams Doxa Katokopias won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 3-16.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Doxa Katokopias
Cypriot First Division
03.04.24	Ethnikos Achna - Doxa Katokopias	1:2 ✺
29.03.24	Doxa Katokopias - Othellos Athienou	0:1 ✺
15.03.24	AEL Limassol - Doxa Katokopias	0:0 ✺
11.03.24	Doxa Katokopias - Zakakiou	2:1 ✺
07.03.24	Nea Salamis - Doxa Katokopias	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28 WLTWW
- Apollon Limassol
Cypriot First Division
03.04.24	Othellos Athienou - Apollon Limassol	0:1 ✺
29.03.24	Apollon Limassol - Zakakiou	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
20.03.24	Apollon Limassol - AEK Athens	0:1 ✺
Cypriot First Division
15.03.24	Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion - Apollon Limassol	0:0 ✺
11.03.24	Apollon Limassol - Ethnikos Achna	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Cypriot First Division
26.02.24	Apollon Limassol - Doxa Katokopias	0:1
20.01.24	Doxa Katokopias - Apollon Limassol	0:3
08.10.23	Apollon Limassol - Doxa Katokopias	4:0
15.12.22	Apollon Limassol - Doxa Katokopias	1:0
03.09.22	Doxa Katokopias - Apollon Limassol	0:1
Club Friendly
10.07.22	Doxa Katokopias - Apollon Limassol	1:0
Cypriot First Division
07.02.22	Doxa Katokopias - Apollon Limassol	0:3

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