Match Info

CYPRUS: Cyprus League - Round 6

Date: 4 October 2024, Friday

Location: Ammochostos Stadium (Larnaca)

Where to Watch on TV:


Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1


	Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion		Apollon Limassol

	1	X	2
	4.6	3.7	1.58
	4.75	4	1.62
	5.01	3.96	1.65
	4.75	4.05	1.65	Watch
	4.8	4	1.53
	5.01	4.1	1.61	Watch
	4.75	4	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.81 ↑ (4.28)	3.97 ↑ (3.92)	1.61 ↓ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion
19.2%

Draw
23.3%

Apollon Limassol
57.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.7%

23.7%

54.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4%

23.4%

55.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Apollon Limassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Apollon Limassol than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	12.5%	75%

Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion - Apollon Limassol Predictions

Users Predictions: Apollon Limassol will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Epassy D. (G) 2. Antoniou M. 45. Djordjevic L. 7. Doumbia A. 80. Giousis C. 6. Hocko D. 11. Kovacevic B. 4. Malone D. (C) 14. Pozo J. 27. Simic S. 16. Tsoukalas S.	41. Leeuwenburgh P. (G) 10. Boisgard Q. 13. Bruno Santos 5. Celestine J. 6. D'Almeida S. 81. De Marco V. 9. Dorregaray D. 18. Sagal A. 20. Spoljaric D. 2. Vouros P. 27. Weissbeck G.
Substitutes
87. Bakic D. 17. Cmiljanic B. 13. Delmiro 24. Gradinaru R. 12. Gribakin A. 9. Kvirkvia M. 75. Mattheou N. 8. Neofytou A. 15. Panteli S. 1. Spoljaric A. (G) 77. Vrikkis A.	21. Barahona C. 77. Coll I. 99. Dimitriou D. (G) 30. Drozdek D. 17. Duodu C. 3. Lam T. 14. Malekkidis G. 8. Zmrhal J.
Coaches
Tarapoulouzis S.	Gula A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', De Marco V. 🟨,
33', 1 - 0, Giousis C. ⚽,
37', Sagal A. ↓, Drozdek D. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', 2 - 0, Pozo J. ⚽,
62', Djordjevic L. ↓, Cmiljanic B. ↑,
63', De Marco V. ↓, Lam T. ↑,
63', Boisgard Q. ↓, Zmrhal J. ↑,
68', Cmiljanic B. 🟨,
74', Pozo J. ↓, Vrikkis A. ↑,
74', Doumbia A. ↓, Neofytou A. ↑,
74', Doumbia A. 🟨,
75', Bruno Santos 🟨,
83', Antoniou M. 🟨,
85', Celestine J. 🟨,
86', Vouros P. ↓, Barahona C. ↑,
86', D'Almeida S. ↓, Coll I. ↑,
87', Antoniou M. ↓, Bakic D. ↑,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 11 in the zone Cyprus League (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Cyprus League (Championship Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Karmiotissa won 0.

Recent matches Karmiotissa is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Apollon Limassol is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Karmiotissa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Apollon Limassol is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Karmiotissa won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 14:38 (average 1:2.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Karmiotissa won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:17 (average 1:2.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion
Cypriot First Division
28.09.24	Omonia Aradippou - Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion	1:1 ✺
20.09.24	Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion - Omonia 29is Maiou	1:1 ✺
14.09.24	Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion - APOEL	0:3 ✺
31.08.24	Enosis Neon Paralimni - Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion	0:1 ✺
24.08.24	Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion - Aris Limassol	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TTLWL
- Apollon Limassol
Cypriot First Division
29.09.24	Apollon Limassol - Enosis Neon Paralimni	3:1 ✺
Cypriot Cup
25.09.24	Othellos Athienou - Apollon Limassol	0:4 ✺
Cypriot First Division
21.09.24	Aris Limassol - Apollon Limassol	0:0 ✺
15.09.24	Apollon Limassol - AEL Limassol	Apollon awarded ✺
Club Friendly
05.09.24	Nea Salamis - Apollon Limassol	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWT?L

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
17.08.24	Apollon Limassol - Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion	7:1
Cypriot First Division
29.04.24	Apollon Limassol - Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion	0:0
15.03.24	Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion - Apollon Limassol	0:0
22.12.23	Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion - Apollon Limassol	3:4
03.09.23	Apollon Limassol - Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion	1:0
09.02.23	Apollon Limassol - Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion	3:4
07.11.22	Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion - Apollon Limassol	1:1

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