Match Info

CYPRUS: CYTA CHAMPIONSHIP - RELEGATION GROUP - ROUND 31

Date: 15 March 2024, Friday

Location: Alphamega Stadium (Kolossi)

Referee: Christoforou M. (Cyp)


	AEL Limassol		Doxa Katokopias

	1	X	2
	1.87	3.6	3.75
	2.19	3.69	3.32
	2.11	3.69	3.32
	2	3.4	3.2
	2.1	3.44	3.36
	2.15	3.35	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.88)	3.53 ↓ (3.68)	3.35 ↓ (3.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AEL Limassol
45.4%

Draw
26.6%

Doxa Katokopias
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

25.5%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

25%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AEL Limassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Doxa Katokopias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEL Limassol than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AEL Limassol, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Doxa Katokopias than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	18.2%	18.2%

AEL Limassol - Doxa Katokopias Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. AEL will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Doxa Katokopias will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AEL: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Anestis G. (G) 7. Andreou E. 5. Basto H. 30. de Lucas L. 66. Djalma Silva 33. Makris A. 17. Mendes Moreira A. 8. Papafotis V. 14. Srnic S. 73. Themistokleous T. 24. Tsouka R.	61. Antoniou A. (G) 23. Antoniadis M. 88. Asante E. 40. Kyriakou C. 32. Kyriakou E. 10. Nabi A. 24. Provydakis K. 77. Puric A. 8. Trajcevski D. 7. Trujic N. 19. Velkovski D.
Substitutes
70. Cano L. 2. Frantzis C. 89. Genethliou L. 77. Kah Fabrice 21. Marsh G. 6. Medojevic S. 10. Mendoza J. 29. Minchev G. 25. Morsay J. 49. Neofytou K. 16. Oliveira Miguel (G) 22. Silvestros E.	15. Adenon K. 21. Alceus B. 30. Ernest 6. Fofana G. 99. Hani O. 98. Kyriakou P. (G) 13. Loizidis L. 70. Mesca 9. Sadik B.
Coaches
Garpozis A.	Petrakis G.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches AEL won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Doxa Katokopias could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

AEL will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 39 head-to-head matches AEL won 26 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 68-30.

Including matches at home between the teams AEL won 14 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 37-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AEL Limassol
Cypriot First Division
11.03.24	Nea Salamis - AEL Limassol	1:1 ✺
08.03.24	AEL Limassol - Apollon Limassol	2:1 ✺
02.03.24	Othellos Athienou - AEL Limassol	1:1 ✺
24.02.24	AEL Limassol - Zakakiou	2:1 ✺
Cypriot Cup
21.02.24	Apollon Limassol - AEL Limassol	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TWTWL
- Doxa Katokopias
Cypriot First Division
11.03.24	Doxa Katokopias - Zakakiou	2:1 ✺
07.03.24	Nea Salamis - Doxa Katokopias	0:1 ✺
02.03.24	Doxa Katokopias - Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion	1:4 ✺
26.02.24	Apollon Limassol - Doxa Katokopias	0:1 ✺
18.02.24	Doxa Katokopias - APOEL	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32.6 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Cypriot First Division
09.12.23	AEL Limassol - Doxa Katokopias	2:0
21.08.23	Doxa Katokopias - AEL Limassol	0:1
29.05.23	AEL Limassol - Doxa Katokopias	1:1
22.04.23	Doxa Katokopias - AEL Limassol	0:0
03.01.23	Doxa Katokopias - AEL Limassol	0:0
16.09.22	AEL Limassol - Doxa Katokopias	1:2
Club Friendly
05.08.22	Doxa Katokopias - AEL Limassol	0:2

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