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Current Win Probability
Drøbak-Frogn 40.7%
Draw 22.7%
Sarpsborg 2 36.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.3%
22%
33.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.5%
23.1%
32.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Drøbak-Frogn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
Sarpsborg 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Drøbak-Frogn than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Drøbak-Frogn, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarpsborg 2 than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
Drøbak Frogn - Sarpsborg 2 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 1 - 0, Fuglu I. ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, Gueye B. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
55', 2 - 1, Hart M. ⚽,
59', 3 - 1, Ostli W. ⚽,
68', 4 - 1, Gabane M. ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 6th and 11th).
In recent outings, Drøbak-Frogn has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Sarpsborg 2 is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Drøbak-Frogn could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Drøbak-Frogn has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:9 (averaging 1.3:3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Drøbak-Frogn against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 3:3 goals.
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