Match Info

2. SNL - Round 24

Date: 19 April 2025, Saturday


	Drava Ptuj		Bistrica

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.8	1.63
	4.3	4.1	1.61	Watch
	4.41	4.13	1.62
	4.6	4.15	1.65	Watch
	4.65	4	1.58
	4.3	4.1	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.39 ↑ (2.64)	4.05 ↑ (3.56)	1.62 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Drava Ptuj
20.8%

Draw
22.6%

Bistrica
56.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

25.6%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

24.6%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Drava Ptuj has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Drava Ptuj's form might have worsened.

Bistrica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bistrica's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Drava Ptuj than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Drava Ptuj, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bistrica than the current prediction. (-15%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bistrica, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Drava Ptuj - Bistrica Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Bistrica (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2 - Bistrica (4.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bistrica (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, ⚽,
36', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
73', 0 - 3, ⚽,
78', 0 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Drava could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Bistrica have a series of home games.

In this match Bistrica is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Drava won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Drava Ptuj
Slovenian 2 SNL
13.04.25	Triglav - Drava Ptuj	4:0 ✺
06.04.25	Drava Ptuj - Rudar Velenje	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	Brinje-Grosuplje - Drava Ptuj	4:0 ✺
23.03.25	Drava Ptuj - Beltinci	2:1 ✺
16.03.25	Gorica - Drava Ptuj	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LWLWL
- NK Bistrica
Slovenian 2 SNL
11.04.25	Bistrica - Slovan Ljubljana	2:1 ✺
06.04.25	Bistrica - Triglav	2:3 ✺
Slovenian Cup
01.04.25	Bistrica - Koper	0:2 ✺
Slovenian 2 SNL
28.03.25	Rudar Velenje - Bistrica	2:2 ✺
21.03.25	Bistrica - Brinje-Grosuplje	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian 2 SNL
05.10.24	Bistrica - Drava Ptuj	3:2

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