Match Info

2. SNL - Round 9

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovenia	NZS


	Dravinja		Slovan Ljubljana

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.40	2.90
	2.28	3.30	2.60	Watch
	2.11	3.43	2.98
	2.17	3.65	2.98	Watch
	2.04	3.35	2.90
	2.17	3.70	2.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.29)	3.47 ↓ (3.62)	2.89 ↑ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dravinja
42.5%

Draw
26.1%

Slovan Ljubljana
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

25.4%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

24.3%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dravinja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Slovan Ljubljana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dravinja than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slovan Ljubljana than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Dravinja - Slovan Ljubljana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
15', 0 - 1, ⚽,
24', 0 - 2, ⚽,
28', 0 - 3, ⚽,
36', 1 - 3, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
87', 1 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 15th in the Relegation and 8th).

Dravinja is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Slovan has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Dravinja has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 5:3 (averaging 1.3:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Dravinja against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:1 goals (averaging 1.5:0.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Slovan Ljubljana	9	5	1	3	13:15	-2	16
15	Dravinja	9	1	1	7	9:24	-15	4

Last Results with these Odds

Dravinja - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 40.17%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ND Dravinja
Slovenian 2 SNL
28.09.26	Rudar Velenje - Dravinja	3:1 ✺
20.09.26	Dravinja - Bistrica	3:1 ✺
11.09.26	Tabor Sežana - Dravinja	5:1 ✺
05.09.26	Brežice - Dravinja	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Dravinja - Triglav	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLTL
- ND Slovan Ljubljana
Slovenian 2 SNL
27.09.26	Slovan Ljubljana - Brežice	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Triglav - Slovan Ljubljana	3:0 ✺
12.09.26	Slovan Ljubljana - Vrhnika	0:0 ✺
05.09.26	Bilje - Slovan Ljubljana	4:0 ✺
28.08.26	Slovan Ljubljana - Ilirija Ljubljana	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian 2 SNL
19.04.26	Dravinja - Slovan Ljubljana	2:1
03.10.25	Slovan Ljubljana - Dravinja	0:1
05.04.25	Slovan Ljubljana - Dravinja	2:1
22.09.24	Dravinja - Slovan Ljubljana	1:0

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