Match Info

Date: 22 May 2022, Sunday


	Drita Gjilan		Ulpiana

	1	X	2
	1.15	6.5	15.5
	1.13	7	14.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.14 ↓ (1.31)	6.75 ↑ (4.5)	15 ↑ (8.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Drita Gjilan
80.3%

Draw
13.6%

Ulpiana
6.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.1%

20.1%

10.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.6%

18.9%

10.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Drita Gjilan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Drita Gjilan's performance.

Ulpiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Drita Gjilan than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Drita Gjilan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulpiana than the current prediction. (+4%)

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Preview

Drita is Qualified for Europa Conference League (Qualification)

Ulpiana is Relegated to

Recent matches Drita is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ulpiana has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Drita could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Drita is certain favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Drita won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Drita won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Drita Gjilan
Kosovo Superliga
15.05.22	Prishtina - Drita Gjilan	0:1 ✺
08.05.22	Drita Gjilan - Dukagjini	0:0 ✺
04.05.22	Gjilani - Drita Gjilan	0:0 ✺
01.05.22	Drita Gjilan - Drenica	1:1 ✺
28.04.22	Ballkani - Drita Gjilan	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WTTTL
- KF Ulpiana
Kosovo Superliga
04.05.22	Dukagjini - Ulpiana	2:1 ✺
30.04.22	Ulpiana - Gjilani	0:4 ✺
27.04.22	Drenica - Ulpiana	3:1 ✺
23.04.22	Ulpiana - Ballkani	1:1 ✺
16.04.22	Malisheva - Ulpiana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Kosovo Superliga
02.04.22	Ulpiana - Drita Gjilan	2:3
Kosovo Cup
16.03.22	Drita Gjilan - Ulpiana	3:0
Kosovo Superliga
15.10.21	Ulpiana - Drita Gjilan	1:1

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