Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 - Round 8

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday


	Druzhba Maykop		Nart Cherkessk

	1	X	2
	3.79	2.98	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.79 ↑ (3.15)	2.98 ↑ (2.96)	1.99 ↓ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Druzhba Maykop
23.9%

Draw
30.5%

Nart Cherkessk
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.8%

30.7%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

30%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Druzhba Maykop has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Nart Cherkessk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nart Cherkessk's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Druzhba Maykop than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nart Cherkessk than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Druzhba Maykop - Nart Cherkessk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Mashezov R. ⚽,
32', 0 - 2, Mashezov R. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
53', 1 - 2, Blagoz R. ⚽,
75', 2 - 2, Koblev Z. ⚽,
81', 3 - 2, Solop A. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 8).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Nart could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Druzhba won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.8:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Druzhba won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Nart Cherkessk	24	11	4	9	33:21	12	37
8	Maykop	24	10	6	8	30:29	1	36

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Druzhba Maykop
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
08.05.26	Spartak Nalchik - Druzhba Maykop	1:0 ✺
02.05.26	Druzhba Maykop - Astrakhan	0:0 ✺
25.04.26	Pobeda Khasavyurt - Druzhba Maykop	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	Druzhba Maykop - Rostov 2	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Zarya - Druzhba Maykop	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LTWLT
- Nart Cherkessk
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
08.05.26	Angust Nazran - Nart Cherkessk	0:3 ✺
02.05.26	Nart Cherkessk - Pobeda Khasavyurt	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Astrakhan - Nart Cherkessk	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Nart Cherkessk - Zarya	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Rostov 2 - Nart Cherkessk	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
13.09.25	Druzhba Maykop - Nart Cherkessk	1:2
22.03.25	Nart Cherkessk - Druzhba Maykop	1:0
28.09.24	Druzhba Maykop - Nart Cherkessk	1:3
31.05.24	Nart Cherkessk - Druzhba Maykop	2:1

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