Match Info

SLOVAKIA: 2. LIGA - ROUND 28

Date: 6 May 2023, Saturday

Location: Mestský futbalový štadión Dubnica (Dubnica)


	Dubnica		Šamorín

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.4	1.95
	3.2	3.49	2.09
	3.2	3.25	1.95
	3.2	3.6	2.06	Watch
	3.1	3.5	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↑ (2.67)	3.45 ↓ (3.6)	2.03 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dubnica
28.7%

Draw
26.4%

Šamorín
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

25.6%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

24.1%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dubnica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dubnica's form might have worsened.

Šamorín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dubnica than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dubnica, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Šamorín than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Šamorín, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dubnica won 1.

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Šamorín will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Dubnica won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 10-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Dubnica won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MFK Dubnica
Slovak 2 Liga
29.04.23	FK Humenné - Dubnica	3:1 ✺
22.04.23	Dubnica - MFK Košice	1:2 ✺
15.04.23	Komárno - Dubnica	3:3 ✺
08.04.23	Dubnica - Pohronie	0:0 ✺
01.04.23	Tatran Prešov - Dubnica	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLTTL
- ŠTK 1914 Šamorín
Slovak 2 Liga
30.04.23	Šamorín - Slavoj Trebišov	1:2 ✺
23.04.23	Žilina B - Šamorín	3:3 ✺
16.04.23	Šamorín - Petrzalka	0:2 ✺
09.04.23	Šamorín - Dolný Kubín	3:1 ✺
01.04.23	FK Humenné - Šamorín	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Slovak 2 Liga
16.10.22	Šamorín - Dubnica	0:2
13.05.22	Šamorín - Dubnica	4:0
25.10.21	Dubnica - Šamorín	1:2
Club Friendly
17.07.21	Dubnica - Šamorín	0:2
Slovak 2 Liga
02.05.21	Šamorín - Dubnica	3:0
10.10.20	Dubnica - Šamorín	0:1
08.03.20	Šamorín - Dubnica	2:1

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