Match Info

Prva NL - Round 22

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: SRC Pescenica (Zagreb)


	Dubrava		Jarun Zagreb

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.2	1.67
	4.75	3.25	1.68
	2.56	3.43	2.05
	4.61	3.47	1.72	Watch
	2.9	2.88	2.25
	2.87	3.35	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.74 ↑ (2.07)	3.26 ↑ (3.07)	1.93 ↓ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dubrava
24.5%

Draw
28.1%

Jarun Zagreb
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

29.4%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

29%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dubrava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dubrava's form might have worsened.

Jarun Zagreb has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jarun Zagreb's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dubrava than the current prediction. (+19.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dubrava, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jarun Zagreb than the current prediction. (-21%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jarun Zagreb, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.4%	0%	78.6%

Dubrava - Jarun Zagreb Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Dubrava will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Jarun will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jarun: 57.1% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Jarun (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Jarun (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Jarun (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Maricevic D. (G) 18. Brekalo F. 15. Ibrahim S. 3. Jakovljevic N. 20. Jazvic F. 5. Ljubanovic T. 21. Pernar B. 23. Remy M. 6. Valjan K. 14. Vrdoljak M. 7. Zahora L.	72. Krizanovic I. (G) 9. Jelic G. 10. Luetic K. 22. Maloca M. 30. Mamic I. 20. Ocvirek N. 5. Orlic B. 26. Petkovic F. 34. Reyvandi A. 4. Sostar F. 27. Vukmanovic V.
Substitutes
30. Cundekovic J. (G) 22. Dominic I. 10. Janjis R. 11. Milicevic I. 24. Moric L. 4. Novak-Stanko M. 2. Palic J. 13. Putica B. 8. Tunjic M.	1. Bosancic I. (G) 14. Buzic M. 11. Culjak F. 2. Grdenic T. 19. Jug P. 18. Kruslin V. 23. Ljubic J. 77. Musa F. 17. Peros R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, ⚽,
35', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', 0 - 3, ⚽,
75', 1 - 3, ⚽,
76', 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dubrava won 1.

Recent form of Dubrava has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Jarun has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Jarun has had a series of home games.

Dubrava might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Dubrava won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:20. (average 1.1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Dubrava won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.1:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Dubrava	7	2	2	3	6:7	-1	8

Last Results with these Odds

Dubrava - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 43.61%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Dubrava
Croatian Prva NL
07.03.26	Orijent - Dubrava	1:1 ✺
03.03.26	Sesvete - Dubrava	2:0 ✺
27.02.26	Dubrava - Cibalia	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Dubrava - Opatija	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
31.01.26	Dubrava - Opatija	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TLWLL
- Jarun Zagreb
Croatian Prva NL
07.03.26	Jarun Zagreb - Croatia Zmijavci	4:0 ✺
28.02.26	Jarun Zagreb - Orijent	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Cibalia - Jarun Zagreb	3:1 ✺
14.02.26	Jarun Zagreb - Sesvete	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
31.01.26	Jarun Zagreb - Radnik Križevci	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
28.01.26	Dubrava - Jarun Zagreb	2:2
Croatian Prva NL
19.10.25	Jarun Zagreb - Dubrava	1:1
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Dubrava - Jarun Zagreb	0:0
Croatian Prva NL
22.03.25	Dubrava - Jarun Zagreb	0:1
15.11.24	Dubrava - Jarun Zagreb	1:0
07.09.24	Jarun Zagreb - Dubrava	3:1
Club Friendly
10.08.24	Jarun Zagreb - Dubrava	1:0

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