Match Info

Prva NL - Round 24

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion ŠRC Zaprešić (Zaprešić)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go


	Jarun Zagreb		Sesvete

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.7	2.55
	2.78	2.78	2.58
	2.97	2.6	2.75
	2.89	2.75	2.65	Watch
	2.8	2.6	2.6
	2.9	2.85	2.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.72)	2.71 ↓ (2.84)	2.64 ↓ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jarun Zagreb
31.9%

Draw
33.5%

Sesvete
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

32.4%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

34.9%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jarun Zagreb has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Sesvete has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jarun Zagreb than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sesvete than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Jarun Zagreb - Sesvete Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Jarun will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Sesvete will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
72. Krizanovic I. (G) 4. Sostar F. 22. Maloca M. 5. Orlic B. 2. Grdenic T. 27. Vukmanovic V. 30. Mamic I. 26. Petkovic F. 10. Luetic K. 20. Ocvirek N. 34. Reyvandi A.	1. Ziger K. (G) 19. Sare V. 5. Kulenovic T. 30. Agic T. 4. Olaleke J. 11. Saranic I. 8. Barnabas M. 27. Kus A. 24. Marijanovic R. 7. Juranovic D. 9. Kardum B.
Substitutes
1. Bosancic I. (G) 14. Buzic M. 11. Culjak F. 9. Jelic G. 19. Jug P. 18. Kruslin V. 23. Ljubic J. 77. Musa F. 17. Peros R.	15. Antolkovic P. 25. Budimir B. 6. Gasparac M. 21. Jakovljevic V. 18. Kanizaj V. 29. Keita A. 26. Omazic I. (G) 20. Pejic I. 17. Simic L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, ⚽,
32', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', 0 - 2, ⚽,
73', 🟨,
81', 🟨,
90+4', 🟥,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jarun won 1.

In recent matches, Jarun has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sesvete is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Sesvete may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Sesvete has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Jarun won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1.4:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Jarun won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.4:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Sesvete	7	3	0	4	9:8	1	9

Last Results with these Odds

Jarun Zagreb - the odds 2.72 are the expected chance of winning is 33.81%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Sesvete - the odds 2.72 are the expected chance of winning is 33.81%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jarun Zagreb
Croatian Prva NL
22.03.26	Dugopolje - Jarun Zagreb	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	Dubrava - Jarun Zagreb	1:3 ✺
07.03.26	Jarun Zagreb - Croatia Zmijavci	4:0 ✺
28.02.26	Jarun Zagreb - Orijent	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Cibalia - Jarun Zagreb	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TWWLL
- NK Sesvete
Croatian Prva NL
20.03.26	Sesvete - Orijent	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Hrvace - Sesvete	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Sesvete - Dugopolje	3:0 ✺
03.03.26	Sesvete - Dubrava	2:0 ✺
27.02.26	Sesvete - Karlovac	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Prva NL
14.02.26	Jarun Zagreb - Sesvete	0:1
20.09.25	Sesvete - Jarun Zagreb	1:0
28.03.25	Jarun Zagreb - Sesvete	0:2
14.03.25	Sesvete - Jarun Zagreb	0:1
19.10.24	Jarun Zagreb - Sesvete	1:2
19.04.24	Sesvete - Jarun Zagreb	2:3
17.11.23	Sesvete - Jarun Zagreb	2:1

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