Match Info

Date: 27 November 2021, Saturday


	Dugopolje		Varaždin

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.1	2.55
	2.5	2.8	2.63
	2.38	3.15	2.7
	2.49	2.97	3.06
	2.37	3	2.8
	2.38	3.26	2.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.4)	3.05 ↓ (3.2)	2.75 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dugopolje
37.4%

Draw
29.7%

Varaždin
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

28.2%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

21.1%

45.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dugopolje has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Varaždin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dugopolje than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dugopolje that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varaždin than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Varaždin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Dugopolje - Varaždin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. HNL).

Recent matches Dugopolje is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Varaždin is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dugopolje won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Dugopolje won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Dugopolje
Croatian Prva NL
20.11.21	Opatija - Dugopolje	0:2 ✺
06.11.21	Dugopolje - Croatia Zmijavci	1:2 ✺
30.10.21	Solin - Dugopolje	2:1 ✺
23.10.21	Dugopolje - Dinamo II Zagreb	2:1 ✺
17.10.21	Bijelo Brdo - Dugopolje	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLLWL
- NK Varaždin
Croatian Prva NL
20.11.21	Varaždin - Sesvete	2:1 ✺
06.11.21	Jarun Zagreb - Varaždin	2:4 ✺
31.10.21	Varaždin - Rudeš	2:1 ✺
Croatian Cup
27.10.21	Varaždin - Lokomotiva Zagreb	2:3 ✺
Croatian Prva NL
24.10.21	Osijek 2 - Varaždin	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Prva NL
16.03.19	Varaždin - Dugopolje	1:0
08.09.18	Dugopolje - Varaždin	1:2
21.04.18	Varaždin - Dugopolje	2:0
14.03.18	Varaždin - Dugopolje	1:0
07.10.17	Dugopolje - Varaždin	1:1

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