The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lokomotiva Zagreb 30.1%
Draw 26.9%
Varaždin 43%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.4%
27%
43.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.9%
26.5%
44.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lokomotiva Zagreb has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
Varaždin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiva Zagreb than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varaždin than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
28.6%
28.6%
42.9%
Lokomotiva Zagreb - Varaždin Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Lokomotiva will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Varaždin will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7th and 4th in the Promotion - Conference League (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiva won 2.
Recent results have been tough for Lokomotiva (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Varaždin have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Lokomotiva could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Lokomotiva has faced a series of away games on the road.
Varaždin is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Confirmed absences for Lokomotiva: Kulusic L.
(Knock).
Confirmed absences for Varaždin: Ilinkovic S.
(Leg Injury)
Puncec R.
(Knock)
Vuk M.
(Knock).
Doubtful / questionable for Lokomotiva: Pajac M.
(Knee Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Lokomotiva has recorded 7 wins, 9 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 27:21 (averaging 1.4:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Lokomotiva against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with 17:11 goals (averaging 1.5:1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Varazdin
8
4
3
1
13:7
6
15
7
Lok. Zagreb
8
2
1
5
11:16
-5
7
Last Results with these Odds
Varaždin - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 43.55%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
Bosnia-and-herzegovina
Croatia
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