Match Info

Gulf Club Champions League - Play Offs - Final

Date: 15 April 2025, Tuesday

Location: Duhok Stadium (Duhok)


	Duhok		Al Qadsia

	1	X	2
	1.85	2.85	4.75
	1.84	3.05	5.99
				Watch
	1.8	2.97	4.85	Watch
	1.85	2.85	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (2.4)	2.93 ↑ (2.8)	5.09 ↑ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Duhok
50.3%

Draw
31.5%

Al Qadsia
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

32.2%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

31.2%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Duhok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Duhok's performance.

Al Qadsia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al Qadsia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Duhok than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Duhok that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Qadsia than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al Qadsia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Duhok - Al Qadsia Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Duhok will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Al Qadsia will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
95. Salih M. (G) 99. Ageed S. 25. Allee Z. 28. Darwiche K. 7. Gwargis P. 96. Lucas Turci 29. Marlon 52. Moises Lucas 27. Othman B. 80. Zakri Y. (C) 10. Zubair H.	35. Al Rashidi K. (G) 21. Abdalla Ahmed 44. Ajibola D. 4. Al Dosary R. 6. Al Fadhli K. 28. Al Mutar J. 11. Al Rasheedi E. 66. Berrahma M. 36. Ebrahim K. (C) 99. Khafi I. 7. Soulah M.
Substitutes
11. Abdulla P. 45. Acquah R. 3. Artien M. 12. Bashar A. (G) 17. Emad H. 88. Ghazi I. 5. Hzair A. 33. Jaafar Z. (G) 55. Mohsin A. 30. Owaid M. 23. Ribaz R. 2. Shwan N.	16. Al Daqbas A. 88. Al Dhaferi A. 10. Al Fnaini M. 17. Al Mutawa B. 5. Al Shatti F. 24. Al Shemali A. 29. Boodai A. 32. Jaragh A. (G) 45. Khaled M. 18. Shehab A. 14. Wadi A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Abdalla Ahmed 🟨,
34', Ebrahim K. ↓, Al Shatti F. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
51', Berrahma M. 🟨,
58', Khafi I. 🟨,
65', Al Mutar J. 🟨,
66', 1 - 0, Ageed S. ⚽, Gwargis P. (A),
70', 1 - 1, Soulah M. ⚽, Khafi I. (A),
76', Al Mutar J. ↓, Wadi A. ↑,
76', Abdalla Ahmed ↓, Shehab A. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 1, Marlon ⚽, Gwargis P. (A),
90+5', Marlon 🟨,
90+6', Marlon ↓, Abdulla P. ↑,
90+6', Ali ↓, Al Mutawa B. ↑,
90+14', Gwargis P. 🟥,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-0.

Duhok in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Al Qadsia is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Al Qadsia have a series of home games.

In this match Duhok is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Duhok won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Duhok
Gulf Club Champions League
08.04.25	Al Qadsia - Duhok	0:0 ✺
Iraqi Premier League
03.04.25	Al-Zawraa - Duhok	1:2 ✺
30.03.25	Duhok - Zakho	1:0 ✺
Gulf Club Champions League
12.03.25	Duhok - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	1:0 ✺
05.03.25	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Duhok	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 36.9 TWWWW
- Al Qadsia Kuwait
Gulf Club Champions League
08.04.25	Al Qadsia - Duhok	0:0 ✺
Kuwaiti Premier League
04.04.25	Al Qadsia - Al Salmiya	2:4 ✺
Kuwaiti Crown Prince Cup
31.03.25	Al Qadsia - Al Naser	1:0 ✺
Kuwaiti Premier League
28.03.25	Khaitan - Al Qadsia	1:2 ✺
Gulf Club Champions League
11.03.25	Al Qadsia - Al-Nasr	2:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Gulf Club Champions League
08.04.25	Al Qadsia - Duhok	0:0

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