Match Info

ASIA: Gulf Club Champions League - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 5 March 2025, Wednesday

Location: Al Ettifaq club stadium (Dammam)


	Al-Ettifaq Dammam		Duhok

	1	X	2
	1.24	5.25	9.25
	1.28	5	8
	1.32	5.85	7.7
	1.31	5.42	7.25
	1.22	5.45	10.4	Watch
	1.28	5	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.45)	5.33 ↑ (4.2)	8.43 ↑ (5.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Ettifaq Dammam
71.9%

Draw
17.2%

Duhok
10.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.1%

21.5%

16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.9%

22.5%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Ettifaq Dammam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Ettifaq Dammam's performance.

Duhok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Duhok might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ettifaq Dammam than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Ettifaq Dammam that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Duhok than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Al Ettifaq Dammam - Duhok Predictions

Users Predictions: Al-Ettifaq Dammam will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rodak M. (G) 29. Abdulrahman M. 6. Ali M. 24. Bamsaud A. 4. Hendry J. 70. Khateeb A. A. 3. Madu A. 10. Medran A. 7. Toko Ekambi K. 14. Vitinho 8. Wijnaldum G. (C)	95. Salih M. (G) 99. Ageed S. 25. Allee Z. 28. Darwiche K. 7. Gwargis P. 96. Lucas Turci 29. Marlon 52. Moises Lucas 27. Othman B. 80. Zakri Y. (C) 10. Zubair H.
Substitutes
46. Al Aliwa A. S. 96. Al Haidari M. (G) 88. Al Malki A. 33. Al Olayan M. 61. Al Otaibi R. 87. Al Sibyani M. 18. Costa J. 77. Dawran M. M. Y. 36. Escobar J. 11. Gray D. 25. Hindi A. 21. Radif A.	11. Abdulla P. 45. Acquah R. 18. Al Immari D. 3. Artien M. 12. Bashar A. (G) 88. Ghazi I. 5. Hzair A. 33. Jaafar Z. (G) 30. Owaid M. 2. Shwan N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, Marlon ⚽, Darwiche K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Madu A. 🟨,
57', Madu A. ↓, Radif A. ↑,
57', Abdulrahman M. ↓, Al Otaibi R. ↑,
64', Darwiche K. 🟨,
66', Bamsaud A. ↓, Al Olayan M. ↑,
67', Vitinho ↓, Gray D. ↑,
82', Marlon ↓, Abdulla P. ↑,
85', Zakri Y. ↓, Al Immari D. ↑,
86', Ali M. ↓, Al Aliwa A. S. ↑,
90+4', Gwargis P. ↓, Acquah R. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Al-Ettifaq is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Duhok is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Al-Ettifaq could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Al-Ettifaq is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Ettifaq Dammam
Saudi Professional League
02.03.25	Al Raed - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	1:1 ✺
26.02.25	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Taawoun	1:0 ✺
21.02.25	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	2:3 ✺
Gulf Club Champions League
18.02.25	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al Qadsia	1:1 ✺
Saudi Professional League
14.02.25	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al Fateh	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 TWWTL
- Duhok
Gulf Club Champions League
19.02.25	Duhok - Dhofar	1:1 ✺
Iraqi Premier League
14.02.25	Al-Qasim - Duhok	2:1 ✺
09.02.25	Duhok - Al-Naft	1:0 ✺
Gulf Club Champions League
04.02.25	Al-Ahli Sanaa - Duhok	0:3 ✺
Iraqi Premier League
29.01.25	Duhok - Al-Karma	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLWWW

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