The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Dulwich Hamlet 38.3%
Draw 24.2%
Aveley 37.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.8%
25.1%
31.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.3%
24.8%
30.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dulwich Hamlet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dulwich Hamlet's form might have worsened.
Aveley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aveley's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dulwich Hamlet than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dulwich Hamlet, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aveley than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aveley, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Dulwich Hamlet - Aveley Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Mico G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', 2 - 0, Obi O. ⚽,
Preview
A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9th and 13th).
Dulwich has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Aveley has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Aveley may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Aveley has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Dulwich has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 4:5 (averaging 2:2.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Dulwich against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 3:3 goals.
Outrights of English Isthmian League Premier Division for now
Dulwich Hamlet: 6.32% Aveley: 2.49%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Dulwich Hamlet
8
5
1
2
18:9
9
16
16
Aveley
10
3
1
6
17:18
-1
10
Last Results with these Odds
Aveley - the odds 2.96 are the expected chance of winning is 31.07%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.
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