Match Info

ENGLAND: ISTHMIAN LEAGUE PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 8

Date: 23 September 2023, Saturday


	Dulwich Hamlet		Concord Rangers

	1	X	2
	1.6	4	4.5
	1.57	4	4.33
	1.55	4.1	4.7
	1.6	4	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.59)	4.03 ↑ (4)	4.51 ↑ (4.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dulwich Hamlet
57.4%

Draw
22.5%

Concord Rangers
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

22.6%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

18.2%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dulwich Hamlet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Concord Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dulwich Hamlet than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dulwich Hamlet that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Concord Rangers than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Concord Rangers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Dulwich Hamlet - Concord Rangers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dulwich won 1.

Dulwich is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Concord has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Concord could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Dulwich is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Dulwich won 1 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Dulwich won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dulwich Hamlet
English Isthmian League Premier Division
28.08.23	Dulwich Hamlet - Chatham Town	2:5 ✺
26.08.23	Horsham - Dulwich Hamlet	3:2 ✺
19.08.23	Dulwich Hamlet - Hastings United	1:2 ✺
15.08.23	Dulwich Hamlet - Canvey Island	4:1 ✺
12.08.23	Hashtag United - Dulwich Hamlet	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLLWT
- Concord Rangers
English Isthmian League Premier Division
09.09.23	Carshalton Athletic - Concord Rangers	2:0 ✺
28.08.23	Concord Rangers - Canvey Island	1:3 ✺
26.08.23	Hastings United - Concord Rangers	3:0 ✺
19.08.23	Concord Rangers - Margate	1:2 ✺
15.08.23	Concord Rangers - Hashtag United	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
25.04.23	Dulwich Hamlet - Concord Rangers	0:0
16.08.22	Concord Rangers - Dulwich Hamlet	1:1
26.03.22	Concord Rangers - Dulwich Hamlet	2:2
22.01.22	Dulwich Hamlet - Concord Rangers	4:1
03.11.20	Dulwich Hamlet - Concord Rangers	1:4
17.08.19	Dulwich Hamlet - Concord Rangers	2:2
02.02.19	Concord Rangers - Dulwich Hamlet	0:0

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