The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Dulwich Hamlet 33.5%
Draw 25.5%
Chatham Town 41%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
35%
25.1%
40%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.6%
24.4%
39%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dulwich Hamlet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
Chatham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dulwich Hamlet than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chatham Town than the current prediction. (-2%)
Dulwich Hamlet - Chatham Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
22', 0 - 1, Ladapo T. ⚽,
34', 0 - 2, Olugbodi A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
56', 0 - 3, Ladapo T. ⚽,
87', 0 - 4, Salami K. ⚽,
Preview
A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10th and 12th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dulwich won 1.
Dulwich is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Chatham have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Chatham could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Dulwich has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:15 (averaging 1.1:2.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Dulwich against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 5:7 goals (averaging 1.7:2.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Chatham
13
7
0
6
26:20
6
21
9
Dulwich Hamlet
14
6
3
5
23:22
1
21
Last Results with these Odds
Dulwich Hamlet - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 34.96%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Chatham Town - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 39.98%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.