Match Info

ENGLAND: ISTHMIAN LEAGUE PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 10

Date: 14 October 2023, Saturday


	Dulwich Hamlet		Kingstonian

	1	X	2
	1.47	4.2	5
	1.5	4.33	5
	1.54	4.91	4.44
	1.5	4	5
	1.47	4.33	5.25
	1.5	4.33	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (2.25)	4.35 ↑ (3.64)	4.95 ↑ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dulwich Hamlet
60.7%

Draw
20.9%

Kingstonian
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

24.9%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

25.6%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dulwich Hamlet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dulwich Hamlet's performance.

Kingstonian has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kingstonian might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dulwich Hamlet than the current prediction. (-19.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dulwich Hamlet that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kingstonian than the current prediction. (+15.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kingstonian could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Dulwich Hamlet - Kingstonian Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 18).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dulwich won 5.

Recent matches Dulwich is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kingstonian is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Dulwich could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Dulwich have a series of guest games.

In this match Dulwich is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Dulwich won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 23-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Dulwich won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 16-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dulwich Hamlet
English Isthmian League Premier Division
10.10.23	Billericay Town - Dulwich Hamlet	3:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
07.10.23	Cheshunt - Dulwich Hamlet	0:1 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
30.09.23	Cheshunt - Dulwich Hamlet	2:1 ✺
26.09.23	Hornchurch - Dulwich Hamlet	2:1 ✺
23.09.23	Dulwich Hamlet - Concord Rangers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLLW
- Kingstonian
English FA Trophy
07.10.23	Hastings United - Kingstonian	1:2 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
30.09.23	Kingstonian - Cray Wanderers	3:0 ✺
23.09.23	Bognor Regis Town - Kingstonian	2:0 ✺
09.09.23	Hashtag United - Kingstonian	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup
03.09.23	Kingstonian - Lydd Town	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
26.04.18	Kingstonian - Dulwich Hamlet	0:1
01.01.18	Dulwich Hamlet - Kingstonian	4:0
20.03.17	Dulwich Hamlet - Kingstonian	4:2
19.12.16	Kingstonian - Dulwich Hamlet	0:1
26.12.15	Dulwich Hamlet - Kingstonian	5:1
31.08.15	Kingstonian - Dulwich Hamlet	0:3
29.11.14	Dulwich Hamlet - Kingstonian	2:1

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