The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Dumbarton 41.2%
Draw 26.7%
Edinburgh City 32.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.1%
26.3%
26.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.2%
25.8%
27.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dumbarton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dumbarton's form might have worsened.
Edinburgh City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Edinburgh City's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dumbarton than the current prediction. (+5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Edinburgh City than the current prediction. (-5%)
Dumbarton - Edinburgh City Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Rice A. (G) 24. Doyle M. (C) 4. Webster K. 3. Omar A. 34. Robson T. 10. Craig D. 6. Hartington O. 21. Honeyman S. 7. Tomlinson S. 15. McIntosh L. 11. Sowa J.
22. Dowie S. (G) 5. Grigor J. 23. McGregor J. (C) 21. Rowe F. 3. Walker J. 18. Aiken M. 24. Foster K. 6. Leitch J. 8. Leitch R. 7. Walker L. 11. Lawson I.
Substitutes
18. Campbell C. 9. Lang D. 28. Mcconnell J. (G) 17. Spalding A. 8. Todd J. 12. Trialist D
15. Brodie C. 17. Bunker C. 25. Glasgow E. 2. McGinn C. 20. North T. 4. Pitt C. 1. Weir M. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Foster K. ⚽, Lawson I. (A),
34', 0 - 2, Lawson I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Tomlinson S. ↓, Spalding A. ↑,
46', Sowa J. ↓, Lang D. ↑,
57', Lawson I. 🟨,
61', Craig D. 🟨,
64', Walker L. ↓, North T. ↑,
66', Robson T. ↓, Biggar C. ↑,
76', 0 - 3, Aiken M. ⚽,
79', Grigor J. 🟨,
80', Lawson I. ↓, Glasgow E. ↑,
84', Grigor J. ↓, McGinn C. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dumbarton won 0.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Dumbarton could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Dumbarton won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:20. (average 1.2:2.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Dumbarton won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).
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Rice A. (G) 
Omar A. 
Robson T. 
Sowa J. 
Trialist D 
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