The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Dumbarton 24%
Draw 23.8%
Spartans 52.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
21.1%
23%
55.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.3%
22.1%
58.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dumbarton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
Spartans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dumbarton than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartans than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Spartans could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Dumbarton - Spartans Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
54. Munn M. (G) 24. Doyle M. (C) 5. Lang T. 3. Omar A. 34. Robson T. 21. Honeyman S. 8. Todd J. 10. Craig D. 20. Cleary R. 9. Lang D. 15. McIntosh L.
21. Martin P. (G) 2. Mudie M. 15. Sonkur A. 5. Tapping J. 19. Drysdale E. 33. Whyte B. 4. Welsh S. 28. Craigen J. (C) 11. Russell C. 29. Stowe M. 9. McNulty M.
Substitutes
18. Campbell C. 6. Hartington O. 27. Kirkpatrick K. 28. Mcconnell J. (G) 11. Sowa J. 17. Spalding A. 7. Tomlinson S. 14. Wallace T. 4. Webster K.
1. Carswell B. (G) 14. Dinanga R. 7. Dishington J. 23. Heal B. 10. Ross M. 18. Walls B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Lang D. ⚽, Doyle M. (A),
14', Robson T. 🟨,
35', Lang T. 🟨,
45', Robson T. ↓, Webster K. ↑,
45+2', Russell C. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', Whyte B. 🟨,
61', 2 - 0, Russell C. (Own goal),
63', Whyte B. ↓, Walls B. ↑,
68', Honeyman S. ↓, Sowa J. ↑,
68', McIntosh L. ↓, Hartington O. ↑,
72', Stowe M. ↓, Dinanga R. ↑,
79', Lang D. ↓, Wallace T. ↑,
79', Cleary R. ↓, Kirkpatrick K. ↑,
80', 🟨,
82', McNulty M. ↓, Ross M. ↑,
90+3', 3 - 0, Sowa J. ⚽, Craig D. (A),
Preview
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 9th and 3rd in the Promotion ~ League One (Promotion ~ Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dumbarton won 2.
Dumbarton is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Spartans shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Recently, Spartans has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Spartans carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Dumbarton has recorded 5 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:13 (averaging 1.6:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Dumbarton against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 7:4 goals (averaging 1.4:0.8 per game).
Outrights of Scottish League Two for now
Spartans: 7.87% Dumbarton: 3.97%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Spartans
9
3
3
3
19:17
2
12
6
Dumbarton
9
4
0
5
10:15
-5
12
Last Results with these Odds
Spartans - the odds 1.61 are the expected chance of winning is 55.86%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.
United-kingdom
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Munn M. (G) 
Doyle M. (C) 
Omar A. 
Robson T. 
Cleary R. 
Dinanga R. 
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