Match Info

League Two - Round 6

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Dumbarton Football Stadium (Dumbarton)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Elgin City TV
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Dumbarton		Elgin City

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.7	1.83
	3.60	3.40	1.80
	3.65	3.55	1.82
	3.83	3.66	1.8
	3.41	3.71	1.91	Watch
	3.7	3.55	1.76
	3.76	3.6	1.8
	3.6	3.6	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.64 ↑ (3.1)	3.6 ↑ (3.59)	1.82 ↓ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Dumbarton
24.9%

Draw
25.2%

Elgin City
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.5%

25.5%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

24.9%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dumbarton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Elgin City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dumbarton than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elgin City than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Dumbarton - Elgin City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Broun H. (G) 24. Doyle M. (C) 4. Webster K. 3. Omar A. 34. Robson T. 10. Craig D. 6. Hartington O. 21. Honeyman S. 20. Cleary R. 9. Lang D. 11. Sowa J.	1. Ritchie T. (G) 5. Girvan K. 2. Neill M. 6. Murray J. 22. MacIver J. 10. Gallagher M. 7. Dingwall R. (C) 18. Cummings A. 17. Willox K. 9. Hester K. 11. Colloty O.
Substitutes
18. Campbell C. 27. Kirkpatrick K. 28. Mcconnell J. (G) 15. McIntosh L. 12. McKenna B. 17. Spalding A. 8. Todd J. 7. Tomlinson S. 14. Wallace T.	26. Booth L. 25. Brown C. 12. Cairns O. 23. Grant M. 20. MacDonald L. 14. Machado M. 24. Mackay L. 27. Morrison J. (G) 32. Rothnie S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Doyle M. 🟨,
15', Murray J. 🟨,
43', 1 - 0, Cleary R. ⚽, Honeyman S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', Cummings A. ↓, Mackay L. ↑,
56', Willox K. ↓, Grant M. ↑,
63', Girvan K. 🟨,
64', Honeyman S. ↓, Kirkpatrick K. ↑,
64', Colloty O. ↓, Brown C. ↑,
64', 2 - 0, Omar A. ⚽,
68', Cleary R. ↓, McIntosh L. ↑,
74', Lang D. ↓, Tomlinson S. ↑,
80', Grant M. 🟨,
80', Gallagher M. ↓, Booth L. ↑,
89', 2 - 1, MacIver J. ⚽, Mackay L. (A),

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 10 in the zone League Two (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dumbarton won 0.

Dumbarton has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Elgin is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Elgin is the team to beat.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Dumbarton won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 1.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Dumbarton won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:8. (average 1.4:1.1).

Outrights of Scottish League Two for now

Elgin City: 11.71% Dumbarton: 3.97%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Elgin City	9	4	2	3	25:16	9	14
6	Dumbarton	9	4	0	5	10:15	-5	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dumbarton
Scottish League Two
29.08.26	Annan Athletic - Dumbarton	2:0 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
25.08.26	Dumbarton - Celtic B	2:2 ✺
Scottish League Two
22.08.26	Kelty Hearts - Dumbarton	3:1 ✺
15.08.26	Dumbarton - Edinburgh City	0:3 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
11.08.26	Dumbarton - Airdrieonians	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTLLL
- Elgin City
Scottish League Two
29.08.26	Elgin City - Stirling Albion	4:0 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
25.08.26	Clachnacuddin - Elgin City	0:2 ✺
Scottish League Two
22.08.26	Spartans - Elgin City	3:3 ✺
15.08.26	Elgin City - Kelty Hearts	4:1 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
11.08.26	Elgin City - Ross County	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Two
14.03.26	Elgin City - Dumbarton	1:1
24.01.26	Dumbarton - Elgin City	2:2
15.11.25	Elgin City - Dumbarton	2:0
16.08.25	Dumbarton - Elgin City	1:1
27.04.24	Dumbarton - Elgin City	2:2
27.01.24	Elgin City - Dumbarton	0:1
18.11.23	Dumbarton - Elgin City	1:0

Upcoming Matches