The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Stranraer 55.4%
Draw 23.5%
Dumbarton 21.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.7%
25.1%
23.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.7%
24.6%
22.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stranraer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
Dumbarton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stranraer than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dumbarton than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Stranraer - Dumbarton Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Currie M. (G) 2. Dunne E. 5. Nair K. 4. McLuckie M. 3. Ecrepont F. 8. Quigg A. 17. McManus D. 14. Bruce Z. 12. Traynor A. 24. Mason S. 16. Dobbie L. (C)
25. Broun H. (G) 24. Doyle M. (C) 4. Webster K. 3. Omar A. 34. Robson T. 21. Honeyman S. 27. Kirkpatrick K. 10. Craig D. 11. Sowa J. 20. Cleary R. 9. Lang D.
Substitutes
20. Cameron C. 77. Clelland D. 7. Dolan J. 9. Foster R. 13. Henderson E. (G) 18. Lynch E. 6. Stuart J.
18. Campbell C. 22. Gibson B. 28. Mcconnell J. (G) 15. McIntosh L. 19. McKenna B. 17. Spalding A. 8. Todd J. 7. Tomlinson S. 14. Wallace T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, Honeyman S. ⚽,
38', Craig D. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
55', 1 - 1, Mason S. ⚽, Quigg A. (A),
59', 2 - 1, Dobbie L. ⚽, Mason S. (A),
60', Sowa J. ↓, Campbell C. ↑,
62', Mason S. 🟨,
66', Craig D. ↓, Todd J. ↑,
67', McManus D. ↓, Dolan J. ↑,
67', Traynor A. ↓, Stuart J. ↑,
72', 3 - 1, Bruce Z. ⚽, Dobbie L. (A),
76', Kirkpatrick K. ↓, McIntosh L. ↑,
76', Robson T. ↓, Wallace T. ↑,
76', Mason S. ↓, Clelland D. ↑,
90+2', 🟨,
90+3', (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stranraer won 1.
Stranraer is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Dumbarton's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Stranraer may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Stranraer is considered a favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stranraer won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 19:27. (average 1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Stranraer won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.1:1).