Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 18

Date: 12 February 2023, Sunday


	Dumiense		Amarante

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.2	1.95
	3.3	3.4	1.9
	3.93	3.04	2.02
	3.65	3.28	1.92
	3.3	3.25	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.5 ↓ (4.28)	3.23 ↓ (3.6)	1.96 ↑ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dumiense
25.9%

Draw
28%

Amarante
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.2%

25.2%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.7%

24.6%

54.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dumiense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Amarante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Amarante might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dumiense than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dumiense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amarante than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Amarante could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal (Play Offs)).

Dumiense is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Amarante is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Dumiense have a series of guest games.

Amarante will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Dumiense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dumiense FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
05.02.23	Bragança - Dumiense	1:0 ✺
29.01.23	Dumiense - Desportivo Monção	2:1 ✺
21.01.23	Pevidem - Dumiense	3:1 ✺
15.01.23	Maria da Fonte - Dumiense	2:2 ✺
08.01.23	Brito - Dumiense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWLTL
- Amarante FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
05.02.23	Amarante - Pevidem	3:2 ✺
29.01.23	Maria da Fonte - Amarante	2:3 ✺
22.01.23	Amarante - Brito	0:0 ✺
15.01.23	São Martinho - Amarante	0:0 ✺
08.01.23	Vila Meã - Amarante	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
30.10.22	Amarante - Dumiense	4:1

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