Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP A - ROUND 17

Date: 28 January 2024, Sunday


	Dumiense		Ribeirão

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.3	3.75
	1.89	3.11	3.7
	1.82	3.37	4.41
	1.79	3.4	4.11
	1.9	3.3	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.22)	3.3 ↑ (3.1)	3.94 ↑ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dumiense
49.1%

Draw
27.7%

Ribeirão
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

29.3%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

30%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dumiense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dumiense's performance.

Ribeirão has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ribeirão might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dumiense than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dumiense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ribeirão than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ribeirão could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 12 in the zone Relegation).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Dumiense is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Dumiense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dumiense FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
21.01.24	Limianos - Dumiense	1:1 ✺
14.01.24	Dumiense - Tirsense	2:2 ✺
07.01.24	Montalegre - Dumiense	2:1 ✺
17.12.23	Brito - Dumiense	1:0 ✺
10.12.23	Dumiense - Portosantense	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TTLLW
- Ribeirão
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
21.01.24	Ribeirão - Os Sandinenses	0:0 ✺
14.01.24	Vila Real - Ribeirão	4:2 ✺
07.01.24	Ribeirão - Pevidem	2:0 ✺
17.12.23	Limianos - Ribeirão	1:2 ✺
10.12.23	Ribeirão - Tirsense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
17.09.23	Ribeirão - Dumiense	1:1

Dumiense - Ribeirão: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide