Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 12

Date: 18 December 2022, Sunday


	Dumiense		São Martinho

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.95	2.4
	2.65	2.8	2.55
	2.8	2.95	2.42
	3.03	2.82	2.59
	2.88	2.8	2.45
	2.85	2.98	2.42
	2.85	3	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.27)	2.9 ↓ (3.1)	2.47 ↓ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dumiense
32%

Draw
31.3%

São Martinho
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

29.2%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

30.1%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dumiense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dumiense's form might have worsened.

São Martinho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting São Martinho's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dumiense than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dumiense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Martinho than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for São Martinho, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Dumiense - São Martinho Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 9 in the zone Relegation).

Dumiense is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches São Martinho is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dumiense FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
11.12.22	Vila Meã - Dumiense	0:0 ✺
04.12.22	Dumiense - Vianense	0:1 ✺
27.11.22	Tirsense - Dumiense	1:2 ✺
20.11.22	Dumiense - Vilar de Perdizes	0:2 ✺
13.11.22	Merelinense - Dumiense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 TLWLL
- Associação Recreativa de São Martinho
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
11.12.22	São Martinho - Pevidem	0:1 ✺
04.12.22	Maria da Fonte - São Martinho	0:3 ✺
27.11.22	São Martinho - Brito	3:1 ✺
20.11.22	São Martinho - Desportivo Monção	3:1 ✺
13.11.22	Vila Meã - São Martinho	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWWWL

Dumiense - São Martinho: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide