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Current Win Probability
Dunav Ruse 24.6%
Draw 28.7%
Arda Kardzhali 46.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.7%
27.9%
40.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.6%
27.1%
39.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dunav Ruse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dunav Ruse's form might have worsened.
Arda Kardzhali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arda Kardzhali's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dunav Ruse than the current prediction. (+8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dunav Ruse, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arda Kardzhali than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arda Kardzhali, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
18.2%
9.1%
72.7%
Dunav Ruse - Arda Kardzhali Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Dunav Ruse will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Arda will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Arda: 46.4% โ 99%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Kitanov G. (G) 51. Budinov I. 4. Cabarcas Perez J. C. 5. Antoniou K. 88. Todorov D. 44. Vidakovic V. 14. Apostolov R. 2. Dilchovski M. 10. Boychev K. 11. Minchev D. 9. Valino A.
1. Gospodinov A. (G) 21. Velev V. 44. Traore A. 5. Lyubenov V. 35. Velkovski D. 80. Kotev L. 8. Yankov D. 15. Ivanov S. 10. Kovachev S. 99. Karagaren B. 16. Bachev P.
Substitutes
39. Alves A. 24. Gavrilov S. 18. Keita I. 69. Pepelyashev P. (G) 22. Predev S. 77. Simeonov A. 19. Stefanov S. 6. Yovkov S.
26. Akandzha B. 22. Georgiev Y. (G) 4. Idowu D. 11. Kabov A. 9. Nikolov G. 24. Paskalev M. 6. Popov V. 18. Vasilev S.
Coaches
Lukanov E.
Tunchev A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
15', Kitanov G. ↓, Pepelyashev P. ↑,
16', 0 - 1, Karagaren B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', 0 - 2, Kovachev S. ⚽,
65', Vidakovic V. ↓, Gavrilov S. ↑,
65', Valino A. ↓, Keita I. ↑,
68', Cabarcas Perez J. C. 🟨,
69', Ivanov S. ↓, Idowu D. ↑,
69', Yankov D. ↓, Kabov A. ↑,
72', Antoniou K. 🟨,
79', Cabarcas Perez J. C. 🟨,
80', Kovachev S. ↓, Vasilev S. ↑,
81', Velev V. ↓, Popov V. ↑,
85', Todorov D. ↓, Alves A. ↑,
85', Budinov I. ↓, Predev S. ↑,
Preview
Recent form of Dunav Ruse has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Arda's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Arda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Dunav Ruse has had a series of away games.
Arda is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Dunav Ruse won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Dunav Ruse won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
Bulgaria
Croatia
Slovenia
Usa
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Kitanov G. (G) 
Cabarcas Perez J. C. 
Antoniou K. 
Vidakovic V. 
Valino A. 
Velev V. 
Traore A. 
Alves A. 
Keita I. 
Idowu D. 
