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Current Win Probability
CSKA 1948 Sofia 42.2%
Draw 30.7%
Arda Kardzhali 27.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
52.1%
27.3%
20.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.3%
26.7%
20.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
CSKA 1948 Sofia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that CSKA 1948 Sofia's form might have worsened.
Arda Kardzhali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arda Kardzhali's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSKA 1948 Sofia than the current prediction. (+11.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for CSKA 1948 Sofia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arda Kardzhali than the current prediction. (-7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arda Kardzhali, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
80%
20%
CSKA 1948 Sofia - Arda Kardzhali Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Arda will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Marinov P. (G) 96. Grivic D. 4. Hoffmann A. 70. Iliev K. 15. Soltani F. 34. Vitanov P. 23. Krebs F. 71. Tarasenko D. 10. Tsonev B. 11. Rusev G. 93. Diallo M.
1. Gospodinov A. (G) 21. Velev V. 44. Traore A. 5. Lyubenov V. 35. Velkovski D. 80. Kotev L. 4. Idowu D. 10. Kovachev S. 39. Vutov A. 99. Karagaren B. 16. Bachev P.
Substitutes
19. Boychev M. 33. Cuellar H. 77. Franco E. 67. Frederic 9. Iliev A. 17. Martines J. 30. Meyer J. 6. Parkhomenko E. 13. Sheytanov D. (G) 20. Sobrero B. 14. Strinski K.
26. Akandzha B. 22. Georgiev Y. (G) 11. Kabov A. 9. Nikolov G. 24. Paskalev M. 6. Popov V. 18. Vasilev S. 8. Yankov D.
Coaches
Aleksandrov A.
Tunchev A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Diallo M. ⚽,
22', 1 - 1, Karagaren B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Tsonev B. ↓, Frederic ↑,
46', Tarasenko D. ↓, Franco E. ↑,
50', Iliev K. 🟨,
57', 2 - 1, Diallo M. ⚽,
58', Diallo M. ↓, Iliev A. ↑,
58', Krebs F. ↓, Meyer J. ↑,
63', Vutov A. ↓, Yankov D. ↑,
67', Hoffmann A. 🟥,
68', Rusev G. ↓, Parkhomenko E. ↑,
74', Idowu D. ↓, Kabov A. ↑,
78', Bachev P. ↓, Nikolov G. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CSKA 1948 won 1.
CSKA 1948 is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Arda has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Arda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
CSKA 1948 is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, CSKA 1948 won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:18. (average 1.3:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, CSKA 1948 won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.3:1).
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Marinov P. (G) 
Grivic D. 
Hoffmann A. 
Soltani F. 
Tarasenko D. 
Diallo M. 
Traore A. 
Idowu D. 
Cuellar H. 
Franco E. 
Frederic 
Meyer J. 
Parkhomenko E. 
Sobrero B. 
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