Match Info

efbet League - Round 1

Date: 18 July 2026, Saturday

Location: National Stadium Vasil Levski (Sofia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Croatia	SportKlub 8
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Septemvri Sofia		Arda Kardzhali

	1	X	2
	4.10	3.30	1.86	Watch
	4.33	3.20	1.80
	3.80	3.20	2.02
	4.82	3.31	1.87
	4.33	3.21	1.92	Watch
	4.60	3.25	1.84
	4.10	3.30	1.91	Watch
	4.20	3.20	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.29 ↑ (3.59)	3.25 ↑ (3.23)	1.88 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Septemvri Sofia
21.7%

Draw
28.7%

Arda Kardzhali
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.7%

28.6%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Septemvri Sofia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Arda Kardzhali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Septemvri Sofia - Arda Kardzhali Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Septemvri Sofia will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Arda will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arda: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Arda (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ivanov Vladimir (G) 4. Hristov M. 13. Onasci K. 3. Wade S. 24. Atanasov Z. A. 5. Baurenski Y. 6. Ferreira P. 8. Penchev B. 22. Georgiev P. 7. Ribeiro E. 29. Herard F.	1. Gospodinov A. (G) 21. Velev V. 44. Traore A. 5. Lyubenov V. 35. Velkovski D. 80. Kotev L. 4. Idowu D. 99. Karagaren B. 39. Vutov A. 18. Vasilev S. 10. Kovachev S.
Substitutes
30. Dobrev V. 11. Dzhamov A. 33. Ivanov G. 21. Krastev N. (G) 27. Liberal A. 16. Mihaylov V. 26. Ozornwafor V. . Stoichkov B. 23. Stoichkov S. 20. Tomovski B. 14. Vutov A.	26. Akandzha B. 22. Georgiev Y. (G) 11. Kabov A. 24. Paskalev M. 6. Popov V.
Coaches
Freitas S.	Tunchev A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Karagaren B. ⚽,
24', Georgiev P. ↓, Ivanov G. ↑,
34', Baurenski Y. 🟨,
40', Idowu D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Atanasov Z. A. ↓, Dzhamov A. ↑,
53', 1 - 1, Wade S. ⚽,
55', Onasci K. 🟨,
62', Vasilev S. ↓, Kabov A. ↑,
64', Herard F. ↓, Stoichkov S. ↑,
72', Karagaren B. 🟨,
73', Vutov A. ↓, Popov V. ↑,
86', Ribeiro E. ↓, Liberal A. ↑,
87', Velkovski D. ↓, Akandzha B. ↑,
90+3', Lyubenov V. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Septemvri Sofia won 2.

Arda is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Septemvri Sofia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Arda has had a series of away games.

Arda is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Septemvri Sofia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 7:18. (average 0.8:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Septemvri Sofia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1:10. (average 0.3:2.5).

Outrights of Bulgarian Parva Liga for now

Arda: 1.24% Septemvri Sofia: 0.16%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Arda	10	5	2	3	15:12	3	17
10	Septemvri Sofia	10	2	2	6	8:18	-10	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Septemvri Sofia
Club Friendly
10.07.26	Ludogorets Razgrad - Septemvri Sofia	1:0 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
28.05.26	Septemvri Sofia - Yantra Gabrovo	2:1 ✺
22.05.26	Septemvri Sofia - Dobrudzha Dobrich	1:1 ✺
18.05.26	Beroe Stara Zagora - Septemvri Sofia	0:1 ✺
14.05.26	Septemvri Sofia - Spartak Varna	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWTWW
- Arda Kardzhali
Club Friendly
10.07.26	Botev Vratsa - Arda Kardzhali	1:0 ✺
07.07.26	Arda Kardzhali - Beitar Jerusalem	0:0 ✺
04.07.26	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Arda Kardzhali	2:0 ✺
26.06.26	Botev Plovdiv - Arda Kardzhali	2:1 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
25.05.26	Cherno More Varna - Arda Kardzhali	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
21.03.26	Septemvri Sofia - Arda Kardzhali	1:4
20.10.25	Arda Kardzhali - Septemvri Sofia	0:1
Club Friendly
08.07.25	Arda Kardzhali - Septemvri Sofia	1:2
Bulgarian Parva Liga
07.04.25	Septemvri Sofia - Arda Kardzhali	0:4
25.10.24	Arda Kardzhali - Septemvri Sofia	2:1
12.02.23	Septemvri Sofia - Arda Kardzhali	0:1
01.08.22	Arda Kardzhali - Septemvri Sofia	3:2

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