Match Info

Vtora liga - Round 12

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Bonchuk (Dupnitsa)


	Marek Dupnitsa		Dunav Ruse

	1	X	2
	5.3	3.6	1.55
	4.38	3.32	1.72
	5.70	3.68	1.55	Watch
	5.77	3.58	1.55	Watch
	5.15	3.75	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.26 ↑ (4.73)	3.59 ↑ (3.53)	1.59 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marek Dupnitsa
17.3%

Draw
25.4%

Dunav Ruse
57.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.1%

25.6%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.7%

25.1%

56.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marek Dupnitsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Dunav Ruse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marek Dupnitsa than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunav Ruse than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Marek Dupnitsa - Dunav Ruse Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Kostadinov K. (G) . Dimitrov I. 14. Dzhadzharov H. 88. George E. 44. Kaymakanski H. 33. Kirilov D. 16. Mechev S. 94. Nenov Y. 2. Nikolov B. 99. Vakadinov B. 77. Veshev S.	33. Kitanov G. (G) 14. Apostolov R. 13. Aquila 9. Bachev P. 10. Boychev K. 81. Dilchovski M. 8. El Bakkali Salah B. 26. Hadzhiev K. 11. Minchev D. 78. Sou E. 88. Todorov D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, ⚽,
11', 🟨,
22', 🟥,
22', 🟨,
38', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', 🟨,
83', 🟥,
83', 🟨,
84', 🟨,
84', 🟨,
84', 🟨,
84', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,
90+5', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+7', 🟨,
90+7', 🟥,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League).

Marek has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Dunav Ruse is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Dunav Ruse is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Marek won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.5:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Marek won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PFC Marek Dupnitsa
Bulgarian Cup
12.10.25	Septemvri Tervel - Marek Dupnitsa	0:3 ✺
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
06.10.25	Vihren Sandanski - Marek Dupnitsa	2:0 ✺
28.09.25	Marek Dupnitsa - CSKA Sofia II	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Spartak Pleven - Marek Dupnitsa	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Marek Dupnitsa - Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 WLTLT
- FC Dunav Ruse
Bulgarian Cup
12.10.25	Benkovski Isperih - Dunav Ruse	0:4 ✺
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
05.10.25	Dunav Ruse - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	2:0 ✺
29.09.25	Hebar Pazardzhik - Dunav Ruse	0:3 ✺
20.09.25	Dunav Ruse - Chernomorets Burgas	2:0 ✺
14.09.25	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Dunav Ruse	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
08.04.25	Dunav Ruse - Marek Dupnitsa	0:0
27.09.24	Marek Dupnitsa - Dunav Ruse	1:1
13.04.24	Marek Dupnitsa - Dunav Ruse	1:1
26.09.23	Dunav Ruse - Marek Dupnitsa	0:0

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