Match Info

BULGARIA: Vtora liga - Round 12

Date: 6 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Gradski stadion Lovech (Loveč)


	Lovech		Marek Dupnitsa

	1	X	2
	3.35	2.74	2.2
	3.47	2.83	2.24	Watch
	3.39	2.85	2.21	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.4 ↑ (2.22)	2.81 ↓ (2.88)	2.22 ↓ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lovech
26.7%

Draw
32.4%

Marek Dupnitsa
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

31.6%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

31.5%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lovech has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lovech's form might have worsened.

Marek Dupnitsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marek Dupnitsa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lovech than the current prediction. (+14.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lovech, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marek Dupnitsa than the current prediction. (-13.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marek Dupnitsa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lovech - Marek Dupnitsa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Nedelchev I. (G) 17. Bucci K. 9. Dimitrov G. 24. Dimitrov T. 8. Ignatov E. 16. Ivanov I. (C) 7. Kasov Y. 14. Lozanov Y. 6. Stefkov B. 26. Valkov K. 5. Yankov N.	21. Kostadinov K. (G) 6. Arsov I. 32. Bashliev A. 14. Bliznakov A. (C) 9. Dimitrov I. 7. Dzhadzharov H. 10. Genadiev Ganchev N. 44. Kaymakanski H. 13. Lyubomirov V. 5. Petkov M. 8. Yordanov V.
Substitutes
10. Banev M. 22. Georgiev D. 21. Ivanov S. 18. Kepov P. 19. Nankov V. 77. Yankov M. 99. Zhekov D. (G)	77. Ivanov M. 17. Ivanov T. 12. Mladenov P. (G) 55. Nakov S. 88. Popovchev T. 15. Ribarski I. 94. Stoyanov D. 1. Yankov Y. (G) 18. Yordanov R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', 🟨,
71', 🟨,
77', 🟨,
82', 🟨,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lovech won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Lovech could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Lovech will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Lovech won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:3 (average 1.3:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Lovech won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:1 (average 2:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Lovech
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
28.09.24	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo - Lovech	1:0 ✺
22.09.24	Lovech - Botev Plovdiv II	3:1 ✺
14.09.24	Strumska Slava Radomir - Lovech	0:1 ✺
09.09.24	Lovech - Belasitsa Petrich	1:2 ✺
01.09.24	Minyor Pernik - Lovech	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWWLL
- PFC Marek Dupnitsa
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
27.09.24	Marek Dupnitsa - Dunav Ruse	1:1 ✺
21.09.24	CSKA 1948 Sofia II - Marek Dupnitsa	2:0 ✺
14.09.24	Marek Dupnitsa - Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	2:0 ✺
07.09.24	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Marek Dupnitsa	1:1 ✺
02.09.24	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo - Marek Dupnitsa	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
02.03.24	Lovech - Marek Dupnitsa	2:1
20.08.23	Marek Dupnitsa - Lovech	1:1
02.04.22	Lovech - Marek Dupnitsa	1:0
17.09.21	Marek Dupnitsa - Lovech	1:1
Bulgarian Parva Liga
09.03.15	Marek Dupnitsa - Lovech	0:0
29.09.14	Lovech - Marek Dupnitsa	3:0

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