The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Dundalk 20.6%
Draw 23%
Bohemians Dublin 56.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.2%
26.3%
43.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.9%
26.1%
43.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dundalk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dundalk's form might have worsened.
Bohemians Dublin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bohemians Dublin's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dundalk than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dundalk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bohemians Dublin than the current prediction. (-12.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bohemians Dublin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
6.7%
6.7%
86.7%
Dundalk - Bohemians Dublin Predictions
New Consensus by Tipsters:
O/U 2.5 - over (1.53) (votes: 88%) ⭐ Best Value.
1X2 - Bohemians Dublin (1.67) (votes: 84%) ⭐ Best Value.
Users Predictions:
Bohemians Dublin will win
(12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%). Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Minogue E. (G) 5. Warren H. 4. Animasahun M. 44. Grivosti T. 3. Burns B. 18. Buckley K. 6. Dervin A. 15. Clarke T. 11. Teahan R. 7. Horgan D. (C) 10. Gaxha L.
25. Walters P. (G) 16. Power D. 12. Hickey P. 24. Byrne C. 15. Mullen S. 10. Devoy D. (C) 6. Flores J. 26. Tierney R. 8. Vaughan H. 7. Parsons C. 9. Whelan C.
Substitutes
20. Cherrie P. (G) 24. Cornwall R. 9. Dillon C. 14. Garbett N. 8. Groome H. 23. Keogh A. M. 27. McDaid D. 12. Mulligan L. 16. Vassenin E.
3. Burke R. 1. Chorazka K. (G) 5. Diallo S. 18. James-Taylor D. 41. Madden P. 17. McDonnell A. 4. Morahan N. 23. Myers Z. 11. Rooney D.
Coaches
Kilduff C.
Reynolds A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Whelan C. (Penalty Awarded),
29', Parsons C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', Warren H. 🟨,
54', Warren H. ↓, Vassenin E. ↑,
54', Mullen S. 🟨,
62', Vaughan H. ↓, Myers Z. ↑,
62', Mullen S. ↓, Diallo S. ↑,
62', Whelan C. ↓, James-Taylor D. ↑,
67', 0 - 2, Tierney R. ⚽, Hickey P. (A),
72', Dervin A. ↓, Garbett N. ↑,
72', Gaxha L. ↓, McDaid D. ↑,
72', Clarke T. ↓, Dillon C. ↑,
77', Parsons C. ↓, Rooney D. ↑,
81', Power D. ↓, Morahan N. ↑,
83', Teahan R. ↓, Groome H. ↑,
88', 1 - 2, Horgan D. (Penalty Awarded),
89', Byrne C. 🟥,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dundalk won 1.
Dundalk is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Bohemians is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Bohemians may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Bohemians is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Confirmed absences for Dundalk: Mullen D.
(Inactive)
Tracey S.
(Red Card).
Doubtful / questionable for Dundalk: Cornwall R.
(Inactive)
Wilson T.
(Inactive).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Dundalk has recorded 8 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 30:29 (averaging 1.5:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Dundalk against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 14:11 goals (averaging 1.6:1.2 per game).