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Current Win Probability
St Patricks Athletic 34%
Draw 28.9%
Bohemians Dublin 37.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.1%
27.7%
31.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.8%
26.6%
30%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St Patricks Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that St Patricks Athletic's form might have worsened.
Bohemians Dublin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bohemians Dublin's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for St Patricks Athletic than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for St Patricks Athletic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bohemians Dublin than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bohemians Dublin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
St Patricks Athletic - Bohemians Dublin Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
94. Anang J. (G) 4. Redmond J. (C) 2. Hoare S. 24. Turner L. 7. Elbouzedi Z. 6. Lennon J. 8. Forrester C. 48. Sheridan R. 11. McClelland J. 9. Keena A. 21. Olusanya A.
25. Walters P. (G) 16. Power D. 24. Byrne C. 12. Hickey P. 15. Mullen S. 6. Flores J. 10. Devoy D. (C) 8. Vaughan H. 26. Tierney R. 7. Parsons C. 18. James-Taylor D.
Substitutes
19. Baggley B. 3. Breslin A. 32. Canny B. 27. Edmondson R. 16. Nugent D. 17. Palmer R. 34. Quigley K. 1. Rogers D. (G) 35. Rooney S.
3. Burke R. 1. Chorazka K. (G) 5. Diallo S. 41. Madden P. 17. McDonnell A. 4. Morahan N. 23. Myers Z. 32. Strods M. 9. Whelan C.
Coaches
Kenny S.
Reynolds A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Turner L. 🟨,
48', Forrester C. 🟨,
55', Keena A. ↓, Edmondson R. ↑,
55', Forrester C. ↓, Baggley B. ↑,
62', Vaughan H. ↓, Strods M. ↑,
64', Olusanya A. ↓, Palmer R. ↑,
77', Flores J. ↓, McDonnell A. ↑,
77', Parsons C. ↓, Diallo S. ↑,
77', James-Taylor D. ↓, Whelan C. ↑,
87', McClelland J. ↓, Breslin A. ↑,
90+6', Diallo S. 🟨,
90+6', Palmer R. 🟨,
Extra Time (1 - 1)
91', Lennon J. ↓, Nugent D. ↑,
100', 1 - 0, Breslin A. ⚽, Redmond J. (A),
105', Power D. ↓, Morahan N. ↑,
105', Strods M. ↓, Madden P. ↑,
108', Byrne C. 🟨,
112', 1 - 1, Edmondson R. (Own goal),
Penalties (7 - 8)
1, Whelan C. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Baggley B. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Byrne C. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Redmond J. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Madden P. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Hoare S. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Devoy D. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Sheridan R. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Tierney R. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Edmondson R. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Mullen S. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Breslin A. (Penalty Awarded),
7, McDonnell A. (Penalty Awarded),
7, Nugent D. (Penalty Awarded),
8, Diallo S. (Penalty Awarded),
8, Turner L. (Penalty Awarded),
9, Hickey P. (Penalty Awarded),
9, Palmer R. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St Patricks won 1.
St Patricks is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Bohemians's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St Patricks won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 29:17. (average 1.5:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, St Patricks won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:5. (average 1.3:0.6).
Outrights of Irish FAI Cup for now
Bohemians: 31.37%
Last Results with these Odds
St Patricks Athletic - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 41.15%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
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Anang J. (G) 
Redmond J. (C) 
Olusanya A. 
Walters P. (G) 
Flores J. 
Baggley B. 
Chorazka K. (G) 
Strods M. 
