The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Dundalk 26.9%
Draw 24.7%
St Patricks Athletic 48.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.1%
26.8%
44.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.8%
26.6%
44.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dundalk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
St Patricks Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dundalk than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for St Patricks Athletic than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
12.5%
87.5%
Dundalk - St Patricks Athletic Predictions
Users Predictions:
St Patricks Athletic will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%). Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Minogue E. (G) 12. Mulligan L. 44. Grivosti T. 16. Vassenin E. 3. Burns B. 6. Dervin A. 11. Teahan R. 15. Clarke T. 8. Groome H. 7. Horgan D. (C) 9. Dillon C.
94. Anang J. (G) 4. Redmond J. (C) 2. Hoare S. 24. Turner L. 6. Lennon J. 7. Elbouzedi Z. 48. Sheridan R. 19. Baggley B. 3. Breslin A. 21. Olusanya A. 9. Keena A.
Substitutes
13. Cherrie P. (G) 10. Gaxha L. 23. Keogh A. M. 27. McDaid D. 35. Safaei S. (G) 19. Spaight S. 17. Tracey S. 5. Warren H. 31. Wilson J.
23. Brown J. 27. Edmondson R. 8. Forrester C. 11. McClelland J. 33. McHale S. 16. Nugent D. 17. Palmer R. 1. Rogers D. (G) 35. Rooney S.
Coaches
Kilduff C.
Kenny S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
21', 0 - 1, Keena A. ⚽, Olusanya A. (A),
29', Olusanya A. 🟨,
37', 0 - 2, Keena A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Mulligan L. ↓, Wilson J. ↑,
46', Groome H. ↓, Tracey S. ↑,
55', Dillon C. ↓, Gaxha L. ↑,
58', Baggley B. ↓, Nugent D. ↑,
58', Elbouzedi Z. ↓, Brown J. ↑,
69', Gaxha L. 🟨,
69', Keena A. ↓, Edmondson R. ↑,
69', Dervin A. ↓, Warren H. ↑,
75', 0 - 3, Sheridan R. ⚽, Olusanya A. (A),
76', Clarke T. ↓, McDaid D. ↑,
79', Sheridan R. ↓, Forrester C. ↑,
79', Olusanya A. ↓, Palmer R. ↑,
82', 0 - 4, Edmondson R. ⚽,
83', Warren H. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dundalk won 2.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Recently, St Patricks has had a series of home games.
St Patricks will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Dundalk: Garbett N.
(Hamstring Injury)
Mullen D.
(Inactive)
There will not play in St Patricks: Boyce R.
(Injury)
Leavy K.
(Inactive)
Power S.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Dundalk: Clarke T.
(Inactive)
Cornwall R.
(Inactive)
Wilson T.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in St Patricks: Mata M. A.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dundalk won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:28. (average 1.2:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Dundalk won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.4:1.1).