Match Info

IRELAND: PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 30

Date: 25 September 2023, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Oriel Park (Dundalk) 🌤️ ...

Referee: McLaughlin P. (Irl)


	Dundalk		Cork City

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.8	4
	1.85	3.6	4	Watch
	1.87	3.74	4.28
	1.75	3.4	3.9
	1.81	3.74	4.15
	1.85	3.6	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.75)	3.65 ↑ (3.58)	4.02 ↓ (4.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dundalk
51.2%

Draw
25.6%

Cork City
23.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.1%

25.4%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

26.5%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dundalk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Cork City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dundalk than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cork City than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	4.2%	4.2%

Dundalk - Cork City Predictions

Users Predictions: Dundalk will win (22 of 24 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.61% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Shepperd N. (G) 2. Davies A. 10. Sloggett G. 16. Muller H. 19. Brownlie D. 20. Yli-Kokko J. 21. Doyle P. 11. Martin J. 15. Horgan D. 22. Durrant S. 9. Hoban P. (C)	13. Byrne O. (G) 30. O'Brien Whitmarsh J. 4. Coleman C. (C) 6. Gilchrist A. 15. Drinan C. 8. Bolger A. 23. Kravchuk A. 11. Bargary C. 16. Worman B. 25. Dijksteel M. 9. Keating R.
Substitutes
13. Cherrie P. (G) 14. Elliott C. 7. Kelly D. 3. Leahy D. 6. Lewis A. 18. McCourt R. 25. Moyo A. 29. Mullen S. 28. O'Kane R.	20. Corcoran J. (G) 19. Crowe O. 33. Fitzpatrick J. 28. Hakkinen J. 18. Honohan J. 29. Kabia J. 24. Murphy C. 22. O'Donovan J. 2. Walker G.
Coaches
O'Donnell S.	Buckley L.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dundalk won 4.

Dundalk is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Cork City is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Dundalk have a series of guest games.

In this match Dundalk is a favorite.

Last 37 head-to-head matches Dundalk won 20 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 51-35.

Including matches at home between the teams Dundalk won 11 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 29-15.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dundalk FC
Irish Premier Division
22.09.23	St Patricks Athletic - Dundalk	3:1 ✺
Irish FAI Cup
15.09.23	Galway United - Dundalk	4:0 ✺
Irish Premier Division
01.09.23	Dundalk - Derry City	1:3 ✺
25.08.23	Shamrock Rovers - Dundalk	1:0 ✺
Irish FAI Cup
18.08.23	Bray Wanderers - Dundalk	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLW
- Cork City
Irish Premier Division
22.09.23	Shelbourne - Cork City	2:1 ✺
Irish FAI Cup
15.09.23	Cork City - Wexford	2:1 ✺
Irish Premier Division
01.09.23	Cork City - Sligo Rovers	3:0 ✺
25.08.23	Drogheda United - Cork City	3:1 ✺
Irish FAI Cup
21.08.23	Cork City - Waterford	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Irish Premier Division
09.06.23	Cork City - Dundalk	1:2
12.05.23	Dundalk - Cork City	2:1
10.04.23	Cork City - Dundalk	1:0
Club Friendly
27.01.23	Cork City - Dundalk	0:1
Irish Premier Division
13.10.20	Cork City - Dundalk	0:2
24.02.20	Dundalk - Cork City	3:0
18.10.19	Cork City - Dundalk	1:0

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