Match Info

Division 1 - Round 23

Date: 11 July 2025, Friday

Location: Carlisle Grounds (Bray)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ireland	LOI TV


	Bray Wanderers		Dundalk

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.4	1.75
	3.85	3.7	1.78
	4.1	3.84	1.86
				Watch
	3.9	3.2	1.91
	3.96	3.74	1.78	Watch
	3.75	3.3	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.89 ↑ (3.76)	3.53 ↓ (3.56)	1.82 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bray Wanderers
23.6%

Draw
26%

Dundalk
50.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.6%

26%

49.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9%

25.2%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bray Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Dundalk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bray Wanderers than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dundalk than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	0%	92.3%

Bray Wanderers - Dundalk Predictions

Users Predictions: Dundalk will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Dundalk will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Corcoran J. (G) 12. Duggan J. 16. Murphy P. 4. Cantwell K. (C) 2. Murphy M. 8. Bartley R. 17. Doyle C. 21. Knight R. 19. O'Neill B. 7. Knight C. 14. Curtis C.	1. Minogue E. (G) 31. Wilson J. 5. McHale S. 15. Leonard V. 3. Keogh S. 16. Kenny E. 8. Groome H. 6. Dervin A. 7. Horgan D. (C) 9. Ebbe D. 11. Arubi G.
Substitutes
10. Almirall G. 3. Barnett D. 34. Britton M. 11. Considine T. 30. Fagbemi B. 26. Flynn R. 22. Kinsella Bishop D. 25. McGuinnes S. (G) 15. Tallon J.	18. Cherrie P. (G) 27. McDaid D. 24. Molloy T. 23. Paraschiv A. 20. Safaei S. (G) 19. Spaight S. 26. Tracey S. 22. Vaughan E. 17. Ward K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', Keogh S. 🟨,
43', 1 - 0, Murphy M. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Keogh S. ↓, Paraschiv A. ↑,
57', Curtis C. 🟨,
61', Kenny E. ↓, Ward K. ↑,
61', Arubi G. ↓, McDaid D. ↑,
63', Doyle C. 🟨,
72', Curtis C. ↓, Kinsella Bishop D. ↑,
72', Knight R. ↓, Almirall G. ↑,
74', 🟨,
75', 🟨,
84', Wilson J. 🟨,
86', Groome H. ↓, Molloy T. ↑,
87', Knight C. ↓, Fagbemi B. ↑,
90+2', O'Neill B. 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 0, Kinsella Bishop D. ⚽,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bray Wanderers won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Dundalk is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bray Wanderers won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 14:47. (average 0.7:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Bray Wanderers won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 7:20. (average 0.6:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bray Wanderers
Irish Division 1
04.07.25	Bray Wanderers - Wexford	1:0 ✺
27.06.25	Athlone Town - Bray Wanderers	0:4 ✺
23.06.25	Bray Wanderers - University College Dublin	1:3 ✺
20.06.25	Kerry - Bray Wanderers	2:1 ✺
13.06.25	Treaty United - Bray Wanderers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLLL
- Dundalk FC
Irish Division 1
04.07.25	Kerry - Dundalk	0:4 ✺
27.06.25	Dundalk - Cobh Ramblers	1:0 ✺
23.06.25	Finn Harps - Dundalk	1:0 ✺
20.06.25	Dundalk - Treaty United	1:1 ✺
13.06.25	Dundalk - University College Dublin	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Irish Division 1
09.05.25	Dundalk - Bray Wanderers	2:2
14.03.25	Bray Wanderers - Dundalk	1:3
Irish FAI Cup
18.08.23	Bray Wanderers - Dundalk	0:1
Irish Premier Division
17.08.18	Bray Wanderers - Dundalk	1:3
25.05.18	Dundalk - Bray Wanderers	5:0
13.04.18	Bray Wanderers - Dundalk	0:2
16.02.18	Dundalk - Bray Wanderers	0:0

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