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Current Win Probability
Shamrock Rovers 49.9%
Draw 26.2%
Dundalk 23.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.6%
23.8%
19.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.1%
23.2%
19.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shamrock Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shamrock Rovers's form might have worsened.
Dundalk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shamrock Rovers than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shamrock Rovers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dundalk than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - under (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Shamrock Rovers will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%). Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. McGinty E. (G) 22. Sobowale T. 5. Grace L. (C) 27. O'Sullivan C. 38. Kovalevskis M. 26. O'Sullivan J. 8. Healy M. 7. Watts D. 17. O'Regan L. 31. Noonan M. 18. Afolabi J.
1. Minogue E. (G) 15. Clarke T. 24. Cornwall R. 4. Animasahun M. 3. Burns B. 18. Buckley K. 6. Dervin A. 11. Teahan R. 44. Grivosti T. 7. Horgan D. (C) 9. Dillon C.
Substitutes
15. Asamoah M. 33. Barrett C. 29. Byrne J. 24. Fitzgerald W. 9. Greene A. 34. Mahon B. 2. Matthews A. 11. Mulraney J. 41. Noonan A. (G)
25. Casey S. 20. Cherrie P. (G) 10. Gaxha L. 8. Groome H. 13. Kearns C. (G) 23. Keogh A. M. 27. McDaid D. 12. Mulligan L. 19. Spaight S.
Coaches
Bradley S.
Kilduff C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 2)
3', 1 - 0, Watts D. (Penalty Awarded),
12', Kilduff C. 🟨,
13', Kovalevskis M. 🟨,
15', 1 - 1, Cornwall R. ⚽, Grivosti T. (A),
19', 2 - 1, Noonan M. ⚽, Watts D. (A),
27', 2 - 2, Horgan D. (Penalty Awarded),
36', O'Sullivan C. 🟨,
38', 3 - 2, Afolabi J. ⚽,
43', Healy M. 🟨,
45', Bradley S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kovalevskis M. ↓, Asamoah M. ↑,
46', O'Sullivan C. ↓, Matthews A. ↑,
47', Dillon C. 🟨,
49', Animasahun M. ↓, McDaid D. ↑,
49', Teahan R. ↓, Groome H. ↑,
50', Watts D. ↓, Byrne J. ↑,
59', Healy M. ↓, Barrett C. ↑,
60', Afolabi J. ↓, Greene A. ↑,
62', Dillon C. ↓, Gaxha L. ↑,
70', Byrne J. 🟨,
73', Burns B. 🟨,
81', Barrett C. 🟨,
85', Clarke T. ↓, Keogh A. M. ↑,
89', Buckley K. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shamrock won 2.
Shamrock is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Dundalk has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Shamrock may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Shamrock is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Shamrock: Cleary D.
(Muscle Injury)
Gaffney R.
(Ankle Injury)
Grant D.
(Muscle Injury)
Lopes R.
(Red Card)
McGovern J.
(Groin Injury)
Ozhianvuna V.
(Knock)
There will not play in Dundalk: Garbett N.
(Hamstring Injury)
Mullen D.
(Muscle Injury)
Warren H.
(Knock)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shamrock won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:15. (average 1.1:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Shamrock won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:6. (average 1.6:0.6).
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Ireland
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McGinty E. (G) 
Burns B. 
Grivosti T. 
Matthews A. 
Cherrie P. (G) 
Gaxha L. 
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