Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 3 August 2023, Thursday

Location: Oriel Park (Dundalk)

Referee: Altmann W. (Aut)


	Dundalk		KA Akureyri

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.2	4.33	Watch
	1.6	4	4.6	Watch
	1.7	3.8	4.6
	1.65	4	4.5
	1.64	3.96	5
	1.6	4.2	5.1	Watch
	1.67	4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.96)	4.02 ↑ (3.58)	4.73 ↑ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dundalk
57%

Draw
23.2%

KA Akureyri
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

25.6%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

25.7%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dundalk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dundalk's performance.

KA Akureyri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and KA Akureyri might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dundalk than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dundalk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KA Akureyri than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that KA Akureyri could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	8.3%	16.7%

Dundalk - KA Akureyri Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Dundalk will win (votes: 9 - 75%). KA Akureyri will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dundalk: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Shepperd N. (G) 2. Davies A. 5. Annesley L. 4. Boyle A. 3. Leahy D. 27. Malley C. 21. Doyle P. 7. Kelly D. 9. Hoban P. (C) 28. O'Kane R. 11. Martin J.	12. Jajalo K. (G) 22. Steingrimsson H. 3. Brkovic D. 5. Arnason I. 2. Baldvinnson Birgir B. 7. Hafsteinsson D. 4. Rodri 30. Hauksson S. 6. Edmundsson J. 11. Sigurgeirsson A. (C) 10. Steingrimsson H.
Substitutes
40. Animasahun M. 19. Brownlie D. 30. Byrne M. (G) 13. Cherrie P. (G) 14. Elliott C. 36. Honney D. 6. Lewis A. 18. McCourt R. 25. Moyo A. 16. Muller H. 10. Sloggett G. 20. Yli-Kokko J.	77. Adalsteinsson B. 9. Adalsteinsson E. 29. Arnason J. 13. Audunsson S. (G) 33. Elisson A. 8. Petersen P. 44. Saevarsson V. 14. Stefansson A. 26. Stole I. 1. Thorhallsson I. (G) 37. Willard H.
Coaches
O'Donnell S.	Hallgrimur J.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-3.

Recent matches Dundalk is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

KA Akureyri in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

KA Akureyri could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Dundalk is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Dundalk won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dundalk FC
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.07.23	KA Akureyri - Dundalk	3:1 ✺
Irish FAI Cup
23.07.23	Dundalk - Shamrock Rovers	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
20.07.23	Dundalk - Magpies	3:1 ✺
13.07.23	Magpies - Dundalk	0:0 ✺
Irish Premier Division
07.07.23	Bohemians Dublin - Dundalk	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWWTL
- KA Akureyri
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
30.07.23	KA Akureyri - HK Kópavogur	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.07.23	KA Akureyri - Dundalk	3:1 ✺
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
24.07.23	Keflavík - KA Akureyri	3:4 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
20.07.23	Gap Connahs Quay - KA Akureyri	0:2 ✺
13.07.23	KA Akureyri - Gap Connahs Quay	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
27.07.23	KA Akureyri - Dundalk	3:1

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