Match Info

Besta deild karla - Round 17

Date: 5 August 2026, Wednesday

Location: Keflavíkurvöllur (Keflavík)

Referee: Twana A. K. (Irq)

Where to Watch on TV:


Iceland	SÝN Sport Ísland 2
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	OneFootball TV


	Keflavík		KA Akureyri

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.83	3.90	3.40
	1.80	3.70	3.40	Watch
	1.86	4.10	3.70
	1.93	4.26	3.33	Watch
	1.80	4.06	3.75	Watch
	1.82	4.00	3.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (2.02)	4 ↓ (4.05)	3.53 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Keflavík
50.5%

Draw
23.2%

KA Akureyri
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

22.9%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

22.3%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Keflavík has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

KA Akureyri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keflavík than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KA Akureyri than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Keflavík - KA Akureyri Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.39) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Keflavík will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Magnusson A. (G) 3. Johannesson A. 4. Heras N. 20. Brigic M. 22. Magnusson A. 8. Baxter B. 6. Magnusson S. (C) 23. Ragnarsson E. 21. Conteh A. 7. Valsson D. 10. Ljubicic S.	1. Thorhallsson I. (G) 30. Hrafnkelsson G. 28. Gudmundsson H. (C) 23. Petursson M. M. 2. Baldvinsson B. 6. Romer A. 44. Saevarsson V. 8. Pedersen J. 10. Steingrimsson H. 7. Palsson A. 16. Robertsson J.
Substitutes
15. Adalbjorssnos A. 18. Bjarnason E. 25. Elvarsson F. 17. Gudlaugsson B. 12. Hermannsson H. (G) 26. Holmarsson R. 47. Karlsson E. 14. Mudrazija M. 28. Traustason V. A.	14. Djuric D. 3. Gautason K. 25. Hjartarson V. 99. Ingolfsson J. (G) 32. Johannsson S. 91. Kristinsson S. 17. Kroon S. 20. Montiel D. 21. Thordarson M.
Coaches
Gudmundsson H.	Jonasson H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
23', Ragnarsson E. 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Magnusson S. ⚽,
32', 2 - 0, Valsson D. ⚽, Johannesson A. (A),
36', 3 - 0, Ljubicic S. ⚽,
45', Petursson M. M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Pedersen J. ↓, Thordarson M. ↑,
50', Brigic M. 🟨,
53', Magnusson A. 🟨,
55', Romer A. 🟨,
62', Ragnarsson E. 🟨,
64', Baxter B. 🟨,
65', Saevarsson V. ↓, Montiel D. ↑,
66', Palsson A. ↓, Kroon S. ↑,
77', Baxter B. ↓, Bjarnason E. ↑,
77', Valsson D. ↓, Mudrazija M. ↑,
81', Romer A. ↓, Kristinsson S. ↑,
81', Robertsson J. ↓, Djuric D. ↑,
84', Conteh A. ↓, Gudlaugsson B. ↑,
84', Thordarson M. 🟨,
89', Ljubicic S. ↓, Adalbjorssnos A. ↑,
89', Magnusson S. ↓, Traustason V. A. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: ) and 10 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Keflavík won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Keflavík will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Keflavík won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:30. (average 1.3:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Keflavík won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 1.4:2.3).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Keflavik	24	8	5	11	36:44	-8	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Keflavík
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
24.07.26	Vikingur Reykjavik - Keflavík	5:1 ✺
20.07.26	Keflavík - Akraness	5:2 ✺
13.07.26	Breiðablik - Keflavík	2:1 ✺
06.07.26	Keflavík - Fram	1:1 ✺
28.06.26	Keflavík - KR Reykjavík	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LWLTW
- KA Akureyri
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
27.07.26	KA Akureyri - Thor Akureyri	0:0 ✺
19.07.26	ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - KA Akureyri	2:2 ✺
12.07.26	KA Akureyri - Akraness	3:2 ✺
02.07.26	Vikingur Reykjavik - KA Akureyri	3:2 ✺
28.06.26	Stjarnan - KA Akureyri	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Besta-deild karla
26.04.26	KA Akureyri - Keflavík	1:2
20.09.23	KA Akureyri - Keflavík	4:2
24.07.23	Keflavík - KA Akureyri	3:4
23.04.23	KA Akureyri - Keflavík	0:0
Icelandic League Cup
04.02.23	Keflavík - KA Akureyri	2:1
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
24.07.22	Keflavík - KA Akureyri	1:3
02.05.22	KA Akureyri - Keflavík	3:2

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