Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 27 July 2023, Thursday

Location: Akureyrarvöllur (Akureyri)

Referee: Davidov G. (Bul)


	KA Akureyri		Dundalk

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.5	2.88	Watch
	2.15	3.3	3
	2.25	3.4	3
	2.25	3.4	3.1
	2.24	3.43	3.12
	2.24	3.45	3.08	Watch
	2.25	3.6	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.93)	3.44 ↑ (3.35)	3.05 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KA Akureyri
42.1%

Draw
27.2%

Dundalk
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

27.7%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

27.8%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KA Akureyri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in KA Akureyri's performance.

Dundalk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dundalk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KA Akureyri than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with KA Akureyri that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dundalk than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dundalk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.7%	31.2%	0%

KA Akureyri - Dundalk Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. KA Akureyri will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for KA Akureyri: 46.1% – 91.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Jajalo K. (G) 22. Steingrimsson H. 3. Brkovic D. 4. Rodri 2. Baldvinnson Birgir B. 30. Hauksson S. 77. Adalsteinsson B. 7. Hafsteinsson D. 8. Petersen P. 11. Sigurgeirsson A. (C) 10. Steingrimsson H.	1. Shepperd N. (G) 16. Muller H. 4. Boyle A. 18. McCourt R. 3. Leahy D. 27. Malley C. 10. Sloggett G. 20. Yli-Kokko J. 7. Kelly D. 9. Hoban P. (C) 2. Davies A.
Substitutes
9. Adalsteinsson E. 29. Arnason J. 13. Audunsson S. (G) 6. Edmundsson J. 33. Elisson A. 44. Saevarsson V. 14. Stefansson A. 26. Stole I. 21. Thordarson M. B. 1. Thorhallsson I. (G) 27. Thorisson T. 37. Willard H.	5. Annesley L. 19. Brownlie D. 30. Byrne M. (G) 13. Cherrie P. (G) 21. Doyle P. 14. Elliott C. 6. Lewis A. 11. Martin J. 28. O'Kane R.
Coaches
Hallgrimur J.	O'Donnell S.

Preview

1st leg.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Dundalk could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

KA Akureyri will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KA Akureyri
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
24.07.23	Keflavík - KA Akureyri	3:4 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
20.07.23	Gap Connahs Quay - KA Akureyri	0:2 ✺
13.07.23	KA Akureyri - Gap Connahs Quay	2:0 ✺
Icelandic Cup
04.07.23	KA Akureyri - Breiðablik	4:3 penalties ✺
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
28.06.23	ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - KA Akureyri	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWWWL
- Dundalk FC
Irish FAI Cup
23.07.23	Dundalk - Shamrock Rovers	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
20.07.23	Dundalk - Magpies	3:1 ✺
13.07.23	Magpies - Dundalk	0:0 ✺
Irish Premier Division
07.07.23	Bohemians Dublin - Dundalk	3:2 ✺
30.06.23	Dundalk - Shamrock Rovers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WWTLW

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