Match Info

Premiership - Round 5

Date: 2 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Dens Park (Dundee)

Referee: Hardie R. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
United-kingdom	Dundee TV, Saints TV


	Dundee		St. Johnstone

	1	X	2
	2.57	3.5	2.5
	2.60	3.40	2.50
	2.65	3.3	2.52	Watch
	2.77	3.5	2.62
	2.67	3.53	2.53	Watch
	2.65	3.4	2.6
	2.67	3.32	2.52	Watch
	2.75	3.55	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.37)	3.44 ↑ (3.33)	2.55 ↓ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dundee
35.4%

Draw
27.5%

St. Johnstone
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

27.6%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

27.2%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dundee has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

St. Johnstone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dundee than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Johnstone than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	40%	26.7%

Dundee - St. Johnstone Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Dundee will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). St. Johnstone will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.2% – 64.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Goodman O. (G) 2. Halliday B. 4. Astley R. 5. Bevan O. 3. Odutayo I. 27. Bevan J. 8. Finnigan R. 48. Hamilton E. (C) 14. Forrest A. 9. Wales B. 19. Westley J.	1. Steward T. (G) 26. Todd M. 5. Mitchell Z. 3. Diabate C. 2. Alic E. 11. Stanton S. 8. Holt J. (C) 42. McAlear R. 7. Steven T. 99. Paton R. 10. Gullan J.
Substitutes
17. Besir Z. 21. Fink B. 28. Jones C. 13. O'Hara K. (G) 18. Reilly C. 10. Robertson F. 12. Samuels I. 7. Wright D. 26. Wright J.	4. Boyes M. 23. Chalmers L. 18. Fotheringham K. 14. Foulds M. 9. Fowler J. 6. Mikulic B. 20. Sinclair R. (G) 33. Smith L. 25. Tait M.
Coaches
Pressley S.	Valakari S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
63', Mitchell Z. 🟨,
64', Forrest A. ↓, Robertson F. ↑,
64', Wales B. ↓, Fink B. ↑,
73', Steven T. ↓, Fotheringham K. ↑,
73', Paton R. ↓, Fowler J. ↑,
73', Halliday B. ↓, Wright D. ↑,
77', Bevan J. ↓, Reilly C. ↑,
84', Stanton S. 🟨,
85', Gullan J. ↓, Tait M. ↑,
87', 1 - 0, Reilly C. ⚽,
88', Holt J. ↓, Chalmers L. ↑,
90', 1 - 1, Fowler J. ⚽, Tait M. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dundee won 3.

Dundee has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

St. Johnstone is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Dundee may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Dundee: Hay A. (Knee Injury) Murray S. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dundee won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 20:27. (average 1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Dundee won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 0.8:1.5).

Outrights of Scottish Premier League for now

Dundee FC: 0.47% St Johnstone: 0.33%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Dundee FC	7	3	1	3	9:7	2	10
6	St Johnstone	7	2	2	3	9:10	-1	8

Last Results with these Odds

St. Johnstone - the odds 2.73 are the expected chance of winning is 33.65%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dundee FC
Scottish Premier League
30.08.26	Dundee - Hibernian	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Dundee United - Dundee	0:2 ✺
Scottish League Cup
15.08.26	Aberdeen - Dundee	3:0 ✺
Scottish Premier League
08.08.26	Dundee - Aberdeen	2:0 ✺
03.08.26	Celtic - Dundee	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LWLWL
- St. Johnstone FC
Scottish Premier League
29.08.26	Hearts - St. Johnstone	2:1 ✺
08.08.26	St. Mirren - St. Johnstone	1:0 ✺
02.08.26	St. Johnstone - Kilmarnock	4:3 ✺
Scottish League Cup
25.07.26	St. Johnstone - East Fife	1:2 penalties ✺
21.07.26	Inverness - St. Johnstone	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Premier League
18.05.25	St. Johnstone - Dundee	0:2
01.03.25	Dundee - St. Johnstone	1:1
05.01.25	St. Johnstone - Dundee	1:3
26.10.24	Dundee - St. Johnstone	1:2
30.03.24	St. Johnstone - Dundee	1:2
11.02.24	Dundee - St. Johnstone	2:1
02.09.23	St. Johnstone - Dundee	2:2

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