Match Info

Premiership - Round 8

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Falkirk Stadium (Falkirk)

Referee: Dickinson D. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Dundee TV, Falkirk TV


	Falkirk		Dundee

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.70	3.80
	1.87	3.60	3.80
	2.00	3.45	3.35	Watch
	1.96	3.65	4.14
	1.89	3.75	3.89	Watch
	1.94	3.55	4.00
	1.94	3.76	3.87	Watch
	1.94	3.80	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.05)	3.66 ↑ (3.57)	3.85 ↑ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Falkirk
49.4%

Draw
26%

Dundee
24.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.1%

26.5%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

26.6%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Falkirk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Dundee has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Falkirk than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dundee than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	37.5%	12.5%

Falkirk - Dundee Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Falkirk will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Dundee will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Falkirk: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Falkirk (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
19. Bain S. (G) 22. Strain R. 15. Neilson L. 5. Henderson L. 3. McCann L. 8. Spencer B. (C) 16. Barbrook F. 23. Ross E. 28. Krauhaus B. 42. Eames O. 24. Murrell J.	1. Goodman O. (G) 7. Wright D. 4. Astley R. 5. Bevan O. 12. Samuels I. 27. Bevan J. 28. Jones C. 48. Hamilton E. (C) 14. Forrest A. 21. Fink B. 11. Hay A.
Substitutes
99. Fodrey C. 1. Hogarth N. (G) 9. MacIver R. 27. McLeod C. 4. McMillan J. 21. Melniks D. 7. Parkinson B. 10. Sibbald C. 14. Yeats F.	6. Akinmboni M. 60. Bland R. 2. Halliday B. 77. Harrison A. 55. Hughes R. 47. Leiper A. 3. Odutayo I. 13. O'Hara K. (G) 26. Wright J.
Coaches
McGlynn J.	Pressley S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Murrell J. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
52', 1 - 1, Bevan O. ⚽, Wright D. (A),
70', Murrell J. ↓, Yeats F. ↑,
70', Krauhaus B. ↓, Parkinson B. ↑,
85', Barbrook F. ↓, Sibbald C. ↑,
90+1', Ross E. ↓, McLeod C. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 2, Hay A. ⚽, Hamilton E. (A),
90+1', Strain R. ↓, McMillan J. ↑,

Preview

A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 11th in the Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 4th in the Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Falkirk won 2.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Falkirk is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Confirmed absences for Falkirk: Gardner J. (Thigh Injury) McLeod C. (Knee Injury) Nesbitt A. (Ankle Injury) Yeats F. (Ankle Injury).

Confirmed absences for Dundee: Hay A. (Knee Injury) Murray S. (Knee Injury) Robertson F. (Knee Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Dundee: Finnigan R. (Ankle Injury) Wales B. (Injury).

In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Falkirk has recorded 6 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:13 (averaging 0.9:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Falkirk against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 8:5 goals (averaging 1.3:0.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Dundee FC	9	4	2	3	13:10	3	14
9	Falkirk	9	2	3	4	9:12	-3	9

Outrights of Scottish Premier League for now

Dundee FC: 0.51% Falkirk: 0.2%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Falkirk FC
Scottish Premier League
19.09.26	St. Johnstone - Falkirk	1:1 ✺
15.09.26	Falkirk - Hearts	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Dundee United - Falkirk	1:1 ✺
02.09.26	Falkirk - Glasgow Rangers	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Celtic - Falkirk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TWTLL
- Dundee FC
Scottish Premier League
19.09.26	Dundee - Motherwell	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Hearts - Dundee	2:1 ✺
02.09.26	Dundee - St. Johnstone	1:1 ✺
30.08.26	Dundee - Hibernian	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Dundee United - Dundee	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Premier League
11.02.26	Falkirk - Dundee	1:0
27.12.25	Dundee - Falkirk	1:0
25.10.25	Falkirk - Dundee	2:1
Scottish Challenge Cup
08.12.22	Falkirk - Dundee	0:3
Scottish League Cup
30.08.22	Dundee - Falkirk	3:0
Scottish Cup
26.01.16	Dundee - Falkirk	3:1
Scottish Football Championship
29.03.14	Dundee - Falkirk	0:1

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