Match Info

FRANCE: NATIONAL - ROUND 23

Date: 3 March 2023, Friday

Location: Stade Marcel Tribut (Dunkerque)


	Dunkerque		Châteauroux

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.8	2.4
	2.8	2.75	2.55
	2.9	2.85	2.5
	3.26	2.78	2.65
	2.88	2.8	2.45
	2.96	3.02	2.46	Watch
	2.9	2.95	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.15)	2.85 ↓ (3)	2.49 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dunkerque
31.2%

Draw
32.1%

Châteauroux
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

30%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

30.8%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dunkerque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dunkerque's form might have worsened.

Châteauroux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Châteauroux's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dunkerque, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Châteauroux than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Châteauroux, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	60%	20%

Dunkerque - Châteauroux Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Dunkerque will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Châteauroux will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dunkerque won 3.

Dunkerque is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Châteauroux is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Dunkerque won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Dunkerque won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USL Dunkerque
French Ligue 3
24.02.23	Cholet - Dunkerque	0:0 ✺
17.02.23	Dunkerque - Versailles	1:2 ✺
10.02.23	Bastia-Borgo - Dunkerque	2:1 ✺
03.02.23	Dunkerque - Nancy	2:3 ✺
27.01.23	Dunkerque - Bourg-Péronnas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 TLLLT
- Châteauroux
French Ligue 3
24.02.23	Châteauroux - Orleans	1:1 ✺
17.02.23	Bourg-Péronnas - Châteauroux	0:2 ✺
10.02.23	Châteauroux - Le Puy	4:1 ✺
03.02.23	Martigues - Châteauroux	1:0 ✺
27.01.23	Châteauroux - Avranches	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
26.09.22	Châteauroux - Dunkerque	1:0
French Ligue 2
10.04.21	Châteauroux - Dunkerque	1:2
05.12.20	Dunkerque - Châteauroux	2:0
French Ligue 3
08.04.17	Dunkerque - Châteauroux	1:1
04.11.16	Châteauroux - Dunkerque	0:1
22.04.16	Dunkerque - Châteauroux	1:1
22.01.16	Châteauroux - Dunkerque	2:0

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