Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 15

Date: 21 November 2025, Friday

Location: Stade Paul-Lignon (Rodez)

Referee: Benchabane F. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Rodez		Dunkerque

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.1	2.5	Watch
	2.62	3.2	2.58
	2.88	3.44	2.4
	2.64	3.50	2.46	Watch
	2.63	3.26	2.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.64)	3.3 ↓ (3.5)	2.51 ↑ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rodez
35%

Draw
28.1%

Dunkerque
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

26.7%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

26.5%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rodez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Dunkerque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodez than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	7.7%	84.6%

Rodez - Dunkerque Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Rodez will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Dunkerque will win (votes: 10 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dunkerque: 62.2% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dunkerque (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Rodez (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Rodez (votes: 1 - 50%). Dunkerque (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Braat Q. (G) 25. Galves N. 5. Jolibois C. 4. Magnin M. 3. Lipinski R. (C) 15. Jean-Lambert E. 8. Younoussa W. 6. Mendes J. 22. Joly O. 18. Balde I. 11. Arconte T.	60. Niflore M. (G) 2. Georgen A. 23. Sasso V. (C) 21. Kondo G. 22. Mayela V. 6. Diong P. 10. Essimi M. 8. Sekongo A. 20. Bardeli E. 77. Zossou A. 9. Robinet T.
Substitutes
10. Baaloudj M. 26. Benchamma S. 16. Margueron L. (G) 9. Nagera K. 20. Ponti R. 29. Tait F. 14. Tourraine M.	11. Daho A. 18. Diop M. 24. Dziki Loussilaho L. 19. Kante A. 1. Lavin M. (G) 27. Linguet A. 57. Seha Z.
Coaches
Santini D.	Sanchez A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Robinet T. ⚽, Sasso V. (A),
34', Galves N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', Jolibois C. 🟨,
61', Joly O. ↓, Benchamma S. ↑,
62', Jean-Lambert E. ↓, Ponti R. ↑,
64', 1 - 1, Ponti R. ⚽, Lipinski R. (A),
77', Essimi M. ↓, Seha Z. ↑,
78', Zossou A. ↓, Daho A. ↑,
78', Arconte T. ↓, Nagera K. ↑,
83', Balde I. ↓, Baaloudj M. ↑,
83', Galves N. ↓, Tourraine M. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rodez won 2.

Rodez has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Dunkerque is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Dunkerque may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Rodez has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Rodez: Corredor M. (Inactive) Issanchou Roubiou C. (Inactive) Laurent L. (Inactive) Margueron L. (Injury) Pelon A. (Inactive) Tebily H. (Injury) Trouillet A. (Ankle Injury) Vangi D. (Inactive)

There will not play in Dunkerque: Abner F. (Inactive) Kante A. (Inactive) Massock T. (Inactive) Sangante O. (Inactive) Sylvestre E. (Inactive)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Rodez won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:11. (average 1.7:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Rodez won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:5. (average 2.2:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rodez AF
Coupe De France
15.11.25	Lavaur - Rodez	1:3 ✺
French Ligue 2
07.11.25	Grenoble - Rodez	2:1 ✺
31.10.25	Montpellier - Rodez	2:0 ✺
28.10.25	Rodez - Annecy	2:1 ✺
25.10.25	Amiens - Rodez	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLLWL
- USL Dunkerque
French Ligue 2
07.11.25	Dunkerque - Boulogne	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Reims - Dunkerque	1:2 ✺
28.10.25	Dunkerque - Red Star	3:0 ✺
24.10.25	Pau - Dunkerque	0:3 ✺
18.10.25	Dunkerque - Montpellier	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
10.03.25	Rodez - Dunkerque	5:1
30.08.24	Dunkerque - Rodez	1:0
10.02.24	Rodez - Dunkerque	0:0
23.09.23	Dunkerque - Rodez	1:2
12.02.22	Dunkerque - Rodez	2:0
28.08.21	Rodez - Dunkerque	2:2
02.02.21	Dunkerque - Rodez	0:0

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