Match Info

Date: 30 September 2022, Friday

Location: Stade Marcel Tribut (Dunkerque)


	Dunkerque		Stade Briochin

	1	X	2
	1.87	3.1	3.8
	1.83	3.15	4
	1.96	3.2	3.75
	1.94	3.34	4.29
	1.91	3.1	4
	1.91	3.28	3.86	Watch
	1.98	3.3	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.68)	3.21 ↓ (3.4)	3.93 ↓ (4.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dunkerque
48%

Draw
28.6%

Stade Briochin
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

26.7%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9%

25.9%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dunkerque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dunkerque's form might have worsened.

Stade Briochin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dunkerque, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stade Briochin than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
79.2%	16.7%	4.2%

Dunkerque - Stade Briochin Predictions

Users Predictions: Dunkerque will win (19 of 24 users predict this - 79.17%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.92% – 95.42%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Dunkerque is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Stade Briochin is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Dunkerque will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USL Dunkerque
French Ligue 3
26.09.22	Châteauroux - Dunkerque	1:0 ✺
16.09.22	Dunkerque - Cholet	3:0 ✺
09.09.22	Versailles - Dunkerque	2:0 ✺
02.09.22	Dunkerque - Bastia-Borgo	2:0 ✺
26.08.22	Nancy - Dunkerque	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWLWW
- Stade Briochin
French Ligue 3
23.09.22	Stade Briochin - Orleans	1:1 ✺
16.09.22	Bourg-Péronnas - Stade Briochin	3:3 ✺
09.09.22	Stade Briochin - Le Puy	0:1 ✺
02.09.22	Martigues - Stade Briochin	3:1 ✺
26.08.22	Stade Briochin - Avranches	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TTLLL

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